- The Giants are -155 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
- Giants starting pitcher: Sean Manaea
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Washington Nationals (+130) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-155) on Wednesday, May 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Nationals vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 15-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 17-18 ATS.
Nationals vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 +100 | +130 |
| Giants | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -120 | -155 |
Nationals vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+9.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 away games (+8.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+15.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+10.05 Units / 77% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+9.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.55 Units / 65% ROI)
Giants vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Giants vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Giants vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Giants vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josiah Gray | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Sean Manaea | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+9.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 away games (+5.90 Units / 34% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 22-14 against the Run Line (+6.65 Units / 15.32% ROI).
- 15-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 11.67% ROI
- 14-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -16.96% ROI
- 19-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 8.99% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 17-18 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -7.54% ROI).
- 16-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -14.73% ROI
- 16-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -10.14% ROI
- 18-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 1.71% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
9 of Josiah Gray’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 55% (110/202) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .672 (166 Total Bases / 247 ABs) on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (18/111) against Josiah Gray this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (4/36) against Sean Manaea on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Sean Manaea has an ERA of 6.55 (90.2 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 4.08 — first Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of .631 (41 Total Bases / 65 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .425 — fourth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (40/235) against Sean Manaea since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Nationals are just 1-117 (.008) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Nationals are just 23-110 (.173) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Nationals are just 69-108 (.390) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Nationals are just 12-68 (.150) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Giants are just 15-19 (.441) this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are just 11-4 (.733) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .851.
The Giants are 29-5 (.853) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Giants are just 1-16 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have 46 extra-base hits out of 212 total hits (just 22%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters have 73 extra-base hits out of 313 total hits (just 23%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Nationals hitters have just 248 strikeouts in 1,348 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .641 (960 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Giants hitters are slugging just .178 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Giants hitters are slugging just .389 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .445.
The Giants are batting just .225 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 96 of 1,339 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Robert Wood (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Calf, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- McKenzie Dickerson (Nationals): Calf, D10
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Chad Kuhl (Nationals): Foot, D15
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
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