- The Mariners (67-56) are -300 favorites vs the Nationals (41-83)
- Nationals starting pitcher: Aníbal Sánchez (0-5), 6.42 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (5-3), 3.47 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Washington Nationals (+240) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-300) on Wednesday, August 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Nationals vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 40-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 62-58 ATS.
Nationals vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +2.5 -135 | O 7.5 -110 | +240 |
| Mariners | -2.5 +110 | U 7.5 -110 | -300 |
Nationals vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 67.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 28 away games (+17.50 Units / 61% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 away games (+12.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 away games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 61% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 47 games at home (+17.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 games (+14.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 59 of his last 89 games (+12.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.50 Units / 67% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 63 of their last 111 games (+14.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+7.65 Units / 109% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+1.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+11.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 43 games (+6.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.70 Units / 38% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 51-70 against the Run Line (-27.25 Units / -18.44% ROI).
- 40-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.1 Units / -16.84% ROI
- 60-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 0.6% ROI
- 54-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.3 Units / -8.53% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 62-58 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -3.14% ROI).
- 66-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.5 Units / 8.59% ROI
- 58-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -2.05% ROI
- 56-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -5.57% ROI
Aníbal Sánchez: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 22% (7/32) against Anibal Sanchez this month (4 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Anibal Sanchez has allowed an OPS of 1.143 (47 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .674 — first Percentile.
Anibal Sanchez has allowed an OBP of .426 (47 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted just .062 (1-for-16) against Anibal Sanchez — tied for 2nd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .224 — 99th Percentile.
George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has not allowed a home run in any of the last 38.0 innings he’s appeared — David Phelps has the longest active streak at 63.1.
George Kirby has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven starts dating back to July 2nd — the longest active streak is 8.
Opponents are hitting .312 (48-for-154) against George Kirby’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .226 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .397 (48 GB hits out of 121 GBs) against George Kirby this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 0 Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Nationals are just 19-44 (.302) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Nationals are just 13-74 (.149) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Nationals are just 41-70 (.369) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Nationals are just 106-16 (.869) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Mariners are 50-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Mariners are 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Mariners are 33-5 (.868) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Mariners are 7-51 (.121) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have grounded into 271 double plays in 2,091 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of .337 (3,339 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have drawn 143 walks in 1,317 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 8.18 (55.0 IP) against division opponents this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.94.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.66 (510.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .303 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Nationals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this month (20 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Mariners have won 39% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mariners vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Matthew Boyd (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Luis García (Nationals): Groin, D10
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Left Calf, D10
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
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