- The Mariners are -225 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jacob Irvin
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Washington Nationals (+180) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-225) on Tuesday, June 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Nationals vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 30-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 36-41 ATS.
Nationals vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -110 | O 8 +100 | +180 |
| Mariners | -1.5 -110 | U 8 -120 | -225 |
Nationals vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 84.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+20.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+17.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Runs Under in his last 17 games (+17.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+16.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 games (+14.20 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+11.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 48 games (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 30 games (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)
Mariners vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Mariners vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Mariners vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo | 4.5 -185 | 4.5 +140 |
| Jake Irvin | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 38 away games (+13.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 37 away games (+8.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 37 away games (+7.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 away games (+2.40 Units / 7% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+4.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games at home (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+3.20 Units / 14% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 43-35 against the Run Line (+3.55 Units / 3.7% ROI).
- 30-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -1.59% ROI
- 36-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -6.83% ROI
- 38-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -1.17% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 36-41 against the Run Line (-8.25 Units / -8.27% ROI).
- 38-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -9.22% ROI
- 38-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -3.55% ROI
- 37-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -5.42% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (45/313) against Jake Irvin this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (17/99) against Jake Irvin with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 41% of Jake Irvin’s pitches (313/766) this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.
Jake Irvin has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.0 innings pitched — Elvis Peguero has the longest active streak at 19.2.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .067 (2 Total Bases / 30 ABs) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .387 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .067 (2-for-30) against Bryan Woo over the last 14 days (2 games) — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed an OBP of just .097 (31 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .285 — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has walked 3 of 21 batters (14%) over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 4th highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Nationals are just 4-6 (.400) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Nationals are just 26-54 (.325) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Nationals are just 1-142 (.007) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Nationals are just 28-133 (.174) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Mariners are just 2-24 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Mariners are 17-3 (.850) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Mariners are 103-3 (.972) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Mariners are just 6-10 (.375) after a road win this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 544 strikeouts in 2,925 PA’s (19%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.70 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters have just 363 strikeouts in 1,939 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have drawn 119 walks in 1,939 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .272 (338 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Mariners are batting just .312 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Mariners are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals have won just 18% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 201 of 2,850 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 652 of 8,880 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Mariners pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
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