• The Marlins are -190 favorites vs the Nationals
• Nationals vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Nationals / Marlins TV Channel: FS1 | MATV | NATV

The Washington Nationals (+154) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-190) on August 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Nationals are 61-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 65-62 ATS.

Nationals vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 2-7, 5.78 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Perez 6-9, 3.27 ERA

Nationals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nasim Nuñez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• Dylan Crews has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.70 Units / 34% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• Abimelec Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+9.60 Units / 120% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.85 Units / 51% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+11.50 Units / 144% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.80 Units / 48% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 25% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 away games (+7.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+5.85 Units / 8% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+10.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.10 Units / 17% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 75-53 against the Run Line (+10.8 Units / 6.09% ROI).

• 61-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 1.91% ROI
• 67-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.95 Units / 3.47% ROI
• 57-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.45 Units / -11.49% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 65-62 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -3.56% ROI).

• 65-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 1.06% ROI
• 63-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -4.63% ROI
• 63-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -4.31% ROI

Marlins vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Nationals are just 31-25 (.554) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 1-52 (.019) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 50-15 (.769) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 13-50 (.206) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Marlins are just 12-28 (.300) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Nationals (28th fewest runs allowed).

The Marlins are just 26-38 (.406) after a loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are 39-25 (.609) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins are 33-6 (.846) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

The Nationals are batting .260 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .440 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .777 (1,505 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .420 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .284 this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 37% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting .248 on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 5.75 runs per game (362/63) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.17 (574.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 1.77 runs per game (230/130) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The Marlins have won 47% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Marlins have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 129 home runs this season — tied for 5th fewest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have 210 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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