• The Marlins are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
• Nationals vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Nationals / Marlins TV Channel: MATV | NATV

The Washington Nationals (+135) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-165) on August 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Nationals are against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are ATS.

Nationals vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Jackson Kent 0-1, 9.01 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 6-8, 4.39 ERA

Nationals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Nationals vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nasim Nuñez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• Dylan Crews has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 32% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• Abimelec Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+8.60 Units / 96% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+16.50 Units / 183% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.85 Units / 51% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 31% ROI)
• Griffin Conine has hit the Walks Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+7.90 Units / 132% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.85 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.45 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 away games (+5.40 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+14.20 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+12.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Marlins vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Nationals are just 1-53 (.019) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 31-25 (.554) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 1-60 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 50-15 (.769) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Marlins are 33-6 (.846) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins are just 12-28 (.300) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Nationals (28th fewest runs allowed).

The Marlins are 39-26 (.600) after a win this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins are just 26-38 (.406) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals hitters are slugging .440 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .432 this season — best in MLB.

The Nationals are batting .260 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .780 (2,398 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .283 this season — best in MLB.

The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 40% on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

The Nationals have allowed 5.75 runs per game (362/63) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.17 (574.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The Marlins have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins have won 47% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 0.0 feet — — tied for shortest in MLB

Marlins pitchers have not picked-off any runners from first base this season — fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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