Nationals vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 25

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(AP Photo/John Froschauer)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 25, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Marlins are -225 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Joan Adon
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
  • Watch the game on BSFL

The Washington Nationals (+180) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-225) on Friday, August 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Nationals vs Marlins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Nationals are 59-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 58-70 ATS.

Nationals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -110O 8.5 -105+180
Marlins -1.5 -110U 8.5 -115-225

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 79.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 away games (+16.45 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+11.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+11.25 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Corey Dickerson has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+10.30 Units / 58% ROI)
  • CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+10.10 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Joey Wendle has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Joey Wendle has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 32 games (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.90 Units / 38% ROI)

Marlins vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Chavis 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Jorge Soler 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Joey Meneses 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Alex Call 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Marlins vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Chavis 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Jorge Soler 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Joey Meneses 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Alex Call 0.5 -130 0.5 +100
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Marlins vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Chavis 0.5 +270 0.5 -375
Jorge Soler 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Joey Meneses 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Alex Call 0.5 +275 0.5 -400
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Marlins vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Braxton Garrett 4.5 -135 4.5 +105
Joan Adon 4.5 +120 4.5 -160
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 63 away games (+13.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+9.70 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.38 Units / 98% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+8.83 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+6.84 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 games at home (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+6.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 71-57 against the Run Line (+6.55 Units / 4.21% ROI).

  • 59-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +22 Units / 16.83% ROI
  • 59-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -6.78% ROI
  • 62-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -1.51% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 58-70 against the Run Line (-26.7 Units / -15.6% ROI).

  • 65-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -1.93% ROI
  • 56-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.4 Units / -11.85% ROI
  • 66-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 3.1% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

starting pitcher – home

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

keys to the game – away

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

keys to the game – home

Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.78 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Nationals hitters have just 1,445 strikeouts in 7,309 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Nationals hitters have just 621 strikeouts in 3,258 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Marlins hitters have 79 extra-base hits out of 292 total hits (just 27%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Marlins are batting .289 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .255.

Marlins hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

team pitchers – away

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D60
  • Jon Chargois (Marlins): Rib, D15
  • Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D60
  • Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Illness, D15
  • Jonathan Davis (Marlins): Knee, D60
  • Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Huascar Brazoban (Marlins): Hamstring, D15
  • Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D60
  • Stone Garrett (Nationals): Leg, D10
  • Keibert Ruiz (Nationals): Head, Day-to-Day
  • Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua Garcia (Nationals): Biceps, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.