- The Marlins are -225 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: Joan Adon
- Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Washington Nationals (+180) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-225) on Friday, August 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Nationals vs Marlins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 59-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 58-70 ATS.
Nationals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Nationals | +1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -105 | +180 |
Marlins | -1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -115 | -225 |
Nationals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 79.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 away games (+16.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+11.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+11.25 Units / 69% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+10.30 Units / 58% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+10.10 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Joey Wendle has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 32 games (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.90 Units / 38% ROI)
Marlins vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Michael Chavis | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Jorge Soler | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Alex Call | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Marlins vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Michael Chavis | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
Jorge Soler | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Alex Call | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Marlins vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Michael Chavis | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Jorge Soler | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Alex Call | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Marlins vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Braxton Garrett | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Joan Adon | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 63 away games (+13.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+9.70 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.38 Units / 98% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+8.83 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+6.84 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 games at home (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+6.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 71-57 against the Run Line (+6.55 Units / 4.21% ROI).
- 59-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +22 Units / 16.83% ROI
- 59-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -6.78% ROI
- 62-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -1.51% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 58-70 against the Run Line (-26.7 Units / -15.6% ROI).
- 65-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -1.93% ROI
- 56-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.4 Units / -11.85% ROI
- 66-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 3.1% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
keys to the game – away
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
keys to the game – home
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.78 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters have just 1,445 strikeouts in 7,309 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Nationals hitters have just 621 strikeouts in 3,258 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have 79 extra-base hits out of 292 total hits (just 27%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Marlins are batting .289 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D60
- Jon Chargois (Marlins): Rib, D15
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D60
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Illness, D15
- Jonathan Davis (Marlins): Knee, D60
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Huascar Brazoban (Marlins): Hamstring, D15
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D60
- Stone Garrett (Nationals): Leg, D10
- Keibert Ruiz (Nationals): Head, Day-to-Day
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Garcia (Nationals): Biceps, D15
Bet now on Nationals vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
