• The Nationals are +105 favorites vs the Marlins
• Nationals vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Nationals / Marlins TV Channel: MATV | NATV

The Washington Nationals (+105) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-125) on May 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Nationals are 18-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 17-21 ATS.

Nationals vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Foster Griffin 3-1, 2.27 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Robby Snelling 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Nationals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Nationals vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brady House has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+14.60 Units / 162% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 52% ROI)
• Foster Griffin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 7 games (+7.70 Units / 99% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 25 away games (+7.05 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Esteury Ruiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+27.00 Units / 338% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.95 Units / 48% ROI)
• Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 46% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+10.40 Units / 69% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+18.30 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 24 away games (+13.30 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+11.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.20 Units / 16% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.25 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.90 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+5.05 Units / 8% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 22-15 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 7.14% ROI).

• 18-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 13.21% ROI
• 24-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.05 Units / 26.53% ROI
• 12-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.45 Units / -34.4% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 17-21 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -11.62% ROI).

• 17-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -5.68% ROI
• 22-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.4 Units / 15.2% ROI
• 14-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.1 Units / -24.34% ROI

Marlins vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Nationals are just 6-11 (.353) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Nationals are just 13-3 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Nationals are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Nationals are 12-7 (.632) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .467.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Marlins are just 1-18 (.053) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.

The Marlins are just 13-3 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Marlins are just 51-72 (.415) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2024 season Today, they face the Nationals (29th runs allowed).

The Marlins are just 35-37 (.486) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Nationals (29th runs allowed).

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

The Nationals are batting just .170 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .258 (178 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Nationals have scored 2.05 runs per game (78/38) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters are slugging just .391 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting just .278 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .331 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have 9 extra-base hits out of 47 total hits (just 19%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 5.66 runs per game (215/38) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .203 against Marlins pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 42 stolen bases this season — most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 31 home runs this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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