• The Mets are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
• Nationals vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Nationals / Mets TV Channel: SNY | NATV

The Washington Nationals (+150) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-185) on April 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Nationals are 13-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 9-19 ATS.

Nationals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Zack Littell 0-3, 7.57 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 2-2, 2.10 ERA

Nationals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Nationals vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Daylen Lile has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+22.50 Units / 250% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.25 Units / 54% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+14.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.75 Units / 37% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Mark Vientos has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
• Brett Baty has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+6.65 Units / 26% ROI)
• Mark Vientos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.60 Units / 20% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+5.00 Units / 125% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 40 games (+17.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 away games (+15.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 21 away games (+12.70 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 17 games (+13.20 Units / 67% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.50 Units / 21% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 17-11 against the Run Line (+3.45 Units / 8.9% ROI).

• 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 10.07% ROI
• 19-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.35 Units / 29.4% ROI
• 9-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -36.97% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 9-19 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -30.42% ROI).

• 9-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.1 Units / -47.75% ROI
• 11-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -17.96% ROI
• 15-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 9.28% ROI

Mets vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Nationals are just 9-3 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Nationals are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals are just 13-48 (.210) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.

The Nationals are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Mets are just 5-3 (.625) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .850.

The Mets are just 9-19 (.321) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are just 5-10 (.333) at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Mets are just 8-17 (.320) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .286 (594 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are batting just .162 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .288 (1,036 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .277 (835 PA’s) this month (23 games) — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are batting just .177 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .251 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.55 (856.1 IP) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 6.04 runs per game (568/94) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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