• The Mets are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
• Nationals vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Nationals / Mets TV Channel: SNY | NATV

The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-165) on April 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Nationals are 13-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 10-19 ATS.

Nationals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Cade Cavalli 0-1, 4.13 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 0-3, 5.07 ERA

Nationals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Nationals vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Daylen Lile has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+21.50 Units / 215% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.00 Units / 46% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.15 Units / 29% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.82 Units / 43% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units / 22% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.65 Units / 53% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games (+15.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+14.85 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 22 away games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.50 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+0.85 Units / 8% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 17-12 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 5.11% ROI).

• 13-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 6.44% ROI
• 19-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.35 Units / 28.38% ROI
• 9-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -35.8% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 10-19 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -25.87% ROI).

• 10-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.1 Units / -43.35% ROI
• 11-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -17.32% ROI
• 15-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 8.98% ROI

Mets vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Nationals are just 13-49 (.206) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Nationals are just 9-3 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Nationals are just 8-4 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.

The Nationals are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Mets are just 9-17 (.346) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Mets are just 6-3 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.

The Mets are just 10-19 (.345) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are just 6-10 (.375) at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

The Nationals are batting just .158 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .243 (148 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are batting just .164 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging just .263 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .289 (1,072 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .272 (621 PA’s) with bases empty this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .290 (804 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .334 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.55 (856.1 IP) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 6.32 (121.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have an ERA of 0.00 (9.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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