• The Mets are -170 favorites vs the Nationals
• Nationals vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Nationals / Mets TV Channel: SNY | NATV

The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-170) on August 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Nationals are 60-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 56-66 ATS.

Nationals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 2-6, 5.76 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 3-3, 3.45 ERA

Nationals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.65 Units / 30% ROI)
• Abimelec Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+10.20 Units / 146% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.55 Units / 42% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+13.80 Units / 138% ROI)
• Christian Scott has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.15 Units / 63% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 70% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 40% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 away games (+14.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 away games (+10.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 away games (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.15 Units / 69% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+8.15 Units / 16% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+7.10 Units / 41% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.85 Units / 46% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 35 games at home (+6.40 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 50% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 72-51 against the Run Line (+10.95 Units / 6.48% ROI).

• 60-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 4.16% ROI
• 67-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.55 Units / 7.69% ROI
• 52-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.45 Units / -15.57% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 56-66 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -6.98% ROI).

• 55-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.5 Units / -18.57% ROI
• 56-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -6.26% ROI
• 58-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -2.81% ROI

Mets vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401) in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals were just 11-43 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Nationals were just 22-76 (.224) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Nationals were just 64-79 (.444) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Mets are 7-3 (.700) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Mets are 7-2 (.778) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Mets are 7-3 (.700) since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Mets are 7-2 (.778) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

The Nationals are batting .261 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .443 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Nationals have scored 382 runs in the first 5 innings this season — most in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .291 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have 33 extra-base hits out of 126 total hits (just 26%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .664 (1,462 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .307 (3,347 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets are batting just .235 this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.17 (574.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 5.75 runs per game (362/63) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 65 double plays in 867 opportunities (7%) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 205 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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