- The Mets (84-48) are -275 favorites vs the Nationals (45-86)
- Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray (7-8), 4.67 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson (7-3), 3.21 ERA
- Watch the game on SNY
The Washington Nationals (+220) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-275) on Friday, September 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Nationals vs Mets Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 44-84 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 71-58 ATS.
Nationals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 +105 | O 8 -115 | +220 |
| Mets | -1.5 -130 | U 8 -105 | -275 |
Nationals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s matchup with 61.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Nationals and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 29 away games (+18.65 Units / 62% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 away games (+13.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 away games (+11.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 33 games (+15.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+14.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+12.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 34 games at home (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 30 games at home (+11.05 Units / 35% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 67 of their last 118 games (+14.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 away games (+9.25 Units / 115% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+3.40 Units / 43% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 76 of their last 132 games (+14.57 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+4.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.10 Units / 22% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 55-73 against the Run Line (-25.8 Units / -16.46% ROI).
- 44-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.35 Units / -14.51% ROI
- 63-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -0.49% ROI
- 58-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.55 Units / -7.53% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 71-58 against the Run Line (+13.95 Units / 8.78% ROI).
- 83-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.5 Units / 10.13% ROI
- 64-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.11% ROI
- 58-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -8.48% ROI
Josiah Gray: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .821 (161 Total Bases / 196 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .542 — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray has walked 36 of 236 left-handed batters (15%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 56% (558/998) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .656 (61 Total Bases / 93 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .371 — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has thrown his changeup for a strike just 46% (121/265) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
David Peterson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (203/382) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson has a strike rate of just 57% (670/1,166) in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (211/401) of right-handed hitters since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Nationals are just 15-76 (.165) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Nationals are just 7-73 (.088) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Nationals are just 22-47 (.319) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Nationals are just 45-73 (.381) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Mets are just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are 28-6 (.824) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Mets are 73-5 (.936) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Mets are 39-6 (.867) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Nationals have grounded 276 double plays since the start of last season — most in MLB.
Nationals hitters have just 1,559 strikeouts in 7,502 PA’s (21%) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .266 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .221.
The Mets have scored first in 73% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Mets are batting .356 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Mets are batting .187 with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have walked 466 of 5,076 batters (9%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 8% of innings played since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have walked 70 of 1,176 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers have walked 160 of 2,561 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brett Baty (Mets): Thumb, D10
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Luis Guillorme (Mets): Groin, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Side, D15
- Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
- Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Oblique, D15
- Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Left Calf, D60
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Nationals and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.