Nationals vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 22, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Orioles (30-39) are -155 favorites vs the Nationals (25-46)
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin (3-9), 6.58 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells (4-4), 3.62 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Washington Nationals (+130) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-155) on Wednesday, June 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Nationals vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Nationals are 25-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 42-27 ATS.

Nationals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -155O 9 -115+130
Orioles -1.5 +125U 9 -105-155

Nationals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 63.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.65 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+12.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 29 away games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.00 Units / 71% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games at home (+11.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+10.05 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)

Orioles vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Anthony Santander 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Austin Hays 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100

Orioles vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Anthony Santander 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Austin Hays 1.5 +140 1.5 -200
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 +155 1.5 -225

Orioles vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Anthony Santander 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Austin Hays 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +130 0.5 -190

Orioles vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Wells 2.5 -185 2.5 +125
Patrick Corbin 3.5 -160 3.5 +115
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 58 games (+16.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+14.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+13.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 49 games (+8.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+2.30 Units / 7% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 29-42 against the Run Line (-19.55 Units / -22.36% ROI).

  • 25-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -17.03% ROI
  • 38-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.95 Units / 6.28% ROI
  • 30-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.45 Units / -14.71% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 42-27 against the Run Line (+9.7 Units / 11.08% ROI).

  • 30-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 5.92% ROI
  • 32-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -6.05% ROI
  • 34-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -1.43% ROI

Opponents are hitting .319 (97-for-304) against Patrick Corbin this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — second Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has an ERA of 6.59 (69.2 IP)this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.48 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .257 (36-for-140) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .164 — first Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed an OBP of .468 (77 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .308 — first Percentile.

Tyler Wells: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting just .062 (1-for-16) against Tyler Wells — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .231 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Wells has a strikeout rate of just 27% (36 SO in 136 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .129 (4-for-31) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Wells has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.7 MPH on non-fastballs since the start of last season (176 balls in play) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 86.9

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Nationals are just 5-42 (.106) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Nationals are just 25-41 (.379) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Nationals are just 12-26 (.316) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Nationals are just 4-140 (.028) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Orioles are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .903.

The Orioles are just 10-22 (.312) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 8-23 (.258) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 21-71 (.228) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.

Nationals hitters have just 538 strikeouts in 2,688 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Nationals hitters have just 150 strikeouts in 841 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Nationals hitters have 49 extra-base hits out of 195 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Nationals have grounded 220 double plays since the start of last season — most in MLB.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 35% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Orioles have won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .281 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Orioles vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Ramón Urías (Orioles): Oblique, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Knee, D15
  • Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Pronator, D60
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D15
  • Mason Thompson (Nationals): Biceps, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Joshua Rogers (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Aníbal Sánchez (Nationals): Neck, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.