Nationals vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 27

Baltimore Orioles' Adley Rutschman in action during a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers, Saturday, Sept. 21, 2024, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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  • The Orioles are -120 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Nationals vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Nationals / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | NATV

The Washington Nationals (+100) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-120) on June 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Nationals are 41-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 41-42 ATS.

Nationals vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Nationals starting pitcher: Foster Griffin 8-2, 3.16 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 6-2, 3.11 ERA

Nationals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -210O 9 -115+100
Orioles -1.5 +160U 9 -105-120

Nationals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jorbit Vivas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+23.50 Units / 588% ROI)
  • Nasim Nunez has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Nasim Nunez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.35 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Coby Mayo has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+7.60 Units / 127% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+18.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 45 away games (+18.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 50 away games (+18.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+17.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 50 away games (+15.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+11.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.45 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 51-31 against the Run Line (+12.25 Units / 10.54% ROI).

  • 41-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 9.96% ROI
  • 49-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.3 Units / 16.76% ROI
  • 31-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.65 Units / -24.79% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 41-42 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -3.34% ROI).

  • 39-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -7.76% ROI
  • 46-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.45 Units / 9.21% ROI
  • 34-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.3 Units / -17.93% ROI

Orioles vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Alonso +260
James Wood +280
CJ Abrams +340
Tyler O'Neill +350
Coby Mayo +350

Orioles vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
James Wood 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Daylen Lile 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
CJ Abrams 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Curtis Mead 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Taylor Ward 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Orioles vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Pete Alonso 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Leody Taveras 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Sam Huff 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Taylor Ward 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Nationals are just 32-11 (.744) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Nationals are 35-8 (.814) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Nationals are just 1-32 (.030) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Nationals are 24-17 (.585) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Orioles are just 8-35 (.186) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Orioles are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 97-15 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Orioles are just 18-66 (.214) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Nationals are batting just .198 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .433 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .274 (391 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .345 (921 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .468 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .134 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 6.02 runs per game (253/42) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (228.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% in close and late situations this season — 5th best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in the first 5 innings this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.