• The Orioles are -200 favorites vs the Nationals
• Nationals vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Nationals / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | NATV

The Washington Nationals (+165) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-200) on June 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Nationals are 42-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 41-42 ATS.

Nationals vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Zack Littell 6-6, 5.43 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 5-7, 3.69 ERA

Nationals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 away games (+26.20 Units / 291% ROI)
• Nasim Nunez has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 39% ROI)
• Nasim Nunez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 43% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.23 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 49% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+9.80 Units / 49% ROI)
• Kyle Bradish has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 38% ROI)
• Blaze Alexander has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 60% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 50 games (+19.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+18.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+18.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 45 away games (+17.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.65 Units / 22% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games at home (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.85 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.35 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+4.35 Units / 16% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 51-31 against the Run Line (+12.25 Units / 10.45% ROI).

• 42-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 10.98% ROI
• 49-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.2 Units / 15.37% ROI
• 32-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.65 Units / -23.42% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 41-42 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -3.3% ROI).

• 39-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -8.79% ROI
• 46-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.35 Units / 7.92% ROI
• 35-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.3 Units / -16.63% ROI

Orioles vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Nationals are just 33-11 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.

The Nationals are just 1-32 (.030) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Nationals are 36-8 (.818) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Nationals are 25-17 (.595) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Orioles are just 8-36 (.182) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Orioles are just 18-66 (.214) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Orioles are just 11-17 (.393) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .276 (395 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are batting .268 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .343 (929 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Nationals are batting just .201 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .469 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .155 with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .668 (885 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.31 (385.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 6.02 runs per game (253/42) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (228.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed an OBP of .334 (745 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.24 runs per game (215/41) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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