- The Padres are -190 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Nationals / Padres TV Channel: PDTV | NATV
The Washington Nationals (+155) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-190) on September 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Nationals are 67-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 78-63 ATS.
Nationals vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Riley Cornelio 2-2, 5.96 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Casey Mize 5-9, 3.62 ERA
Nationals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -140 | O 8 -118 | +155 |
| Padres | -1.5 +115 | U 8 -102 | -190 |
Nationals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 63.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Brady House has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Campusano has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+19.60 Units / 280% ROI)
- Samad Taylor has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Luis Campusano has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Casey Mize has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 27% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+7.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+13.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 83-61 against the Run Line (+9.65 Units / 4.88% ROI).
- 67-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -1.43% ROI
- 75-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 4.02% ROI
- 63-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.1 Units / -11.89% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 78-63 against the Run Line (+11.2 Units / 5.89% ROI).
- 76-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 1.28% ROI
- 62-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.7 Units / -14.28% ROI
- 77-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.2 Units / 5.82% ROI
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Nationals are just 1-60 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are just 34-25 (.576) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are just 11-60 (.155) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are just 13-58 (.183) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Padres are 51-8 (.864) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Padres are 59-2 (.967) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Padres are 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Padres are 49-34 (.590) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face Nationals (28th fewest runs allowed).
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are slugging .443 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .552 (2,945 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Nationals hitters are slugging .290 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.
The Nationals are batting .263 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .352 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
Padres hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB.
Padres hitters have grounded into 113 double plays in 943 opportunities (12%) this season — highest in MLB.
The Padres are batting just .231 at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.13 (665.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 5.63 runs per game (411/73) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 1.84 runs per game (268/146) in late innings this season — highest in MLB.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 1,223 times this season — 5th fewest in MLB.
The Padres have allowed 3.67 runs per game (268/73) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.37 (670.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Nationals vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
