- The Padres are -190 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Nationals / Padres TV Channel: PDTV | NATV
The Washington Nationals (+154) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-190) on September 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Nationals are against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are ATS.
Nationals vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jackson Kent 1-3, 5.48 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 8-6, 4.59 ERA
Nationals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -140 | O 8 +100 | +154 |
| Padres | -1.5 +115 | U 8 -120 | -190 |
Nationals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Brady House has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Yohandy Morales has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+10.36 Units / 259% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Campusano has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+18.60 Units / 233% ROI)
- Samad Taylor has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Luis Campusano has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.25 Units / 72% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 23 away games (+5.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+11.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+6.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.95 Units / 20% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Nationals are just 1-60 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are just 34-26 (.567) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are just 1-69 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are just 13-59 (.181) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Padres are 9-59 (.132) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Padres are 59-2 (.967) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Padres are 45-29 (.608) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Padres are 52-8 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are slugging .445 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .549 (2,961 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
The Nationals are batting .264 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters are slugging .289 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have grounded into 114 double plays in 949 opportunities (12%) this season — highest in MLB.
The Padres have answered-back in 37% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB.
Padres hitters are slugging just .385 this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .699 (5,387 PA’s) this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.13 (665.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 5.63 runs per game (411/73) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Padres have allowed 3.68 runs per game (272/74) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.38 (679.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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