• The Phillies are -175 favorites vs the Nationals
• Nationals vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Nationals / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | NATV

The Washington Nationals (+145) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-175) on August 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Nationals are 55-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 45-68 ATS.

Nationals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 2-5, 5.56 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 1-8, 6.76 ERA

Nationals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Nationals vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 37% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+9.40 Units / 94% ROI)
• Andres Chaparro has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jake Irvin has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Justin Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 47% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 31% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 41% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 37% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 45 away games (+15.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 away games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 away games (+10.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 away games (+8.50 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games at home (+3.70 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+3.40 Units / 12% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 66-47 against the Run Line (+9.55 Units / 6.13% ROI).

• 55-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 3.54% ROI
• 61-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.95 Units / 7.09% ROI
• 48-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.9 Units / -14.9% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 45-68 against the Run Line (-29.85 Units / -22.09% ROI).

• 61-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -3.25% ROI
• 47-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.85 Units / -15.79% ROI
• 61-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.8 Units / 7.83% ROI

Phillies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Nationals are just 1-45 (.022) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 1-51 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 45-13 (.776) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are 45-12 (.789) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Phillies are 5-49 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 12-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 48-2 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Phillies are 32-5 (.865) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals hitters are slugging .439 this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .766 (4,441 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have 389 extra-base hits out of 987 total hits (39%) this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .771 (1,342 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters are slugging .741 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .289 (2,133 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .454 (2,288 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .654 (2,133 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.30 (520.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .282 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Nationals vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.