- The Pirates are -190 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Nationals / Pirates TV Channel: SNPT | NATV
The Washington Nationals (+154) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-190) on April 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Nationals are 7-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 11-5 ATS.
Nationals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 0-3, 12.42 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 1-0, 1.00 ERA
Nationals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -135 | O 9.5 -120 | +154 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +110 | U 9.5 +100 | -190 |
Nationals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jacob Young has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+28.00 Units / 400% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+18.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 20 away games (+18.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+13.45 Units / 90% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+13.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 71% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 away games (+14.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 away games (+9.10 Units / 53% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+13.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games (+11.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 9-6 against the Run Line (+2.1 Units / 10.58% ROI).
- 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 14.51% ROI
- 12-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.65 Units / 43.34% ROI
- 4-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.2 Units / -52.27% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 11-5 against the Run Line (+5.25 Units / 23.49% ROI).
- 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 25.33% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 19.03% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -28.69% ROI
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Nationals were just 64-79 (.444) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .027.
The Nationals are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Nationals are just 72-105 (.404) since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Pirates are just 14-91 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The Pirates were just 1-80 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Pirates were just 6-50 (.107) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Pirates were just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .843 (209 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters had an OPS of just .640 (1,704 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Nationals hitters are slugging .345 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.
The Nationals are batting .302 against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates batted just .121 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .622 (3,034 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .158 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers had an ERA of 5.34 (1424.2 IP) in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 8.33 runs per game (50/6) at home this season — highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 7.85 (55.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.59 (790.1 IP) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 18% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (11 games) — 2nd highest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers had a first-pitch strike rate of just 60% in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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