- The Pirates are -180 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Nationals / Pirates TV Channel: SNPT | NATV
The Washington Nationals (+145) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-180) on April 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Nationals are 8-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 11-6 ATS.
Nationals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 1-1, 7.08 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Carmen Mlodzinski 0-0, 2.51 ERA
Nationals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jacob Young has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+27.00 Units / 338% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+18.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 20 away games (+18.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- Jake Irvin has hit the Earned Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+18.85 Units / 94% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+14.05 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 away games (+15.25 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 16 away games (+10.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+12.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 10-6 against the Run Line (+3.1 Units / 14.62% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 22.67% ROI
- 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 34.22% ROI
- 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -44.09% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 11-6 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 18.2% ROI).
- 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 14.46% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 11.44% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -21.77% ROI
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Nationals are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Nationals are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .034.
The Nationals are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401) in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Pirates were just 6-50 (.107) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Pirates were just 5-65 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Pirates are just 7-47 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates were just 9-30 (.231) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting .301 against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Nationals hitters are slugging .331 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .841 (213 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .634 (363 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates batted just .121 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
The Pirates won only 33% of their road games in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates batted just .219 against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 7.85 (55.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 6.08 (151.0 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.59 (790.1 IP) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 17% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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