Nationals vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 20

Texas Rangers' Marcus Semien watches his single against the Baltimore Orioles during the ninth inning of a baseball game, Saturday, May 27, 2023, in Baltimore. The Rangers won 5-3.
(AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
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  • The Rangers are -170 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Nationals vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Nationals / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | NATV | FS1

The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-170) on August 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Nationals are 61-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 55-69 ATS.

Nationals vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Nationals starting pitcher: Andrew Alvarez 2-4, 3.72 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 8-8, 3.97 ERA

Nationals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -160O 7.5 -105+140
Rangers -1.5 +135U 7.5 -115-170

Nationals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andrew Alvarez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.45 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Andrew Alvarez has hit the Hits Allowed Under in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Andrew Alvarez has hit the Strikeouts Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Andrew Alvarez has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.45 Units / 7% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Justin Foscue has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+14.00 Units / 156% ROI)
  • Jacob deGrom has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 6 games (+6.55 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Justin Foscue has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Justin Foscue has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 away games (+7.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+5.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.30 Units / 13% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 74-52 against the Run Line (+11.2 Units / 6.43% ROI).

  • 61-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 3.41% ROI
  • 67-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.15 Units / 5.08% ROI
  • 55-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.45 Units / -13.09% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 55-69 against the Run Line (-20.4 Units / -12.5% ROI).

  • 62-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -7.28% ROI
  • 63-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.28% ROI
  • 58-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.3 Units / -7.41% ROI

Rangers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
CJ Abrams +325
Jake Burger +350
Corey Seager +360
Wyatt Langford +390
Abimelec Ortiz +400

Rangers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Wyatt Langford 0.5 -235 0.5 +155
Jake Burger 0.5 -220 0.5 +145
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -210 0.5 +140
Corey Seager 0.5 -210 0.5 +140
CJ Abrams 0.5 -210 0.5 +140

Rangers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Jake Burger 0.5 -220 0.5 +145
Evan Carter 0.5 -220 0.5 +150
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 -220 0.5 +150
Daylen Lile 0.5 -220 0.5 +150

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401) in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals were just 11-43 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Nationals were 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals were 8-5 (.615) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Rangers are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Rangers were just 7-18 (.280) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers were 6-60 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .043.

Nationals hitters are slugging .824 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .442 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .780 (1,497 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .748 (2,544 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .605 (395 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (613 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are batting just .225 against division opponents this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Rangers have scored 1.24 runs per game (157/127) in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.17 (574.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rangers have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have won only 22% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.