- The Rangers (33-35) are -160 favorites vs the Nationals (25-47)
- Nationals starting pitcher: Paolo Espino (0-1), 2.29 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning (1-5), 4.38 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Washington Nationals (+135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-160) on Friday, June 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Nationals vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 25-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 41-27 ATS.
Nationals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -145 | O 9 -110 | +135 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +120 | U 9 -110 | -160 |
Nationals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 30 away games (+8.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 28 away games (+5.75 Units / 17% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.35 Units / 70% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 71% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+6.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Rangers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Marcus Semien | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Rangers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Corey Seager | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Rangers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Marcus Semien | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -160 |
Rangers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Dunning | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -165 |
| Paolo Espino | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+10.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.95 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 57 games (+18.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 48 games (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 55 games (+6.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 48 games (+3.28 Units / 6% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 29-43 against the Run Line (-21.1 Units / -23.71% ROI).
- 25-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.5 Units / -18.15% ROI
- 38-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 4.88% ROI
- 31-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -13.23% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 41-27 against the Run Line (+10.65 Units / 11.91% ROI).
- 33-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 2.15% ROI
- 28-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -9.33% ROI
- 32-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 1.53% ROI
Paolo Espino: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paolo Espino has struck out just 15% (8/54) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 12th lowest among among 112 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.
Paolo Espino has located his pitches away 64% of the time (90/140) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (20/62) against Paolo Espino this season — 11th lowest among among 107 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (19/50) against Paolo Espino on fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Dane Dunning: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (19/121) against Dane Dunning this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (72/121) against Dane Dunning this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed an OBP of .364 (162 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (119/226) against Dane Dunning this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 93rd Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Nationals are just 4-141 (.028) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Nationals are just 5-43 (.104) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Nationals are 11-3 (.786) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Nationals are just 5-22 (.185) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rangers are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.
The Rangers are 6-26 (.188) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Rangers are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are 4-26 (.133) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .077.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OBP of .348 (2,691 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Nationals hitters have 49 extra-base hits out of 195 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Nationals hitters have just 538 strikeouts in 2,691 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 32% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have drawn 180 walks in 2,650 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (8,468 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (10,615 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (5,818 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.88 (286.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .280 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .215.
Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 60 of 607 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Rangers have won just just 16% of the time at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Knee, D15
- Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Pronator, D60
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D15
- Mason Thompson (Nationals): Biceps, D60
- Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Joshua Rogers (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Aníbal Sánchez (Nationals): Neck, D60
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
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