• The Rays are -140 favorites vs the Nationals
• Nationals vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Nationals / Rays TV Channel: RATV | NATV

The Washington Nationals (+115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-140) on June 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Nationals are 40-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 42-31 ATS.

Nationals vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Andrew Alvarez 1-0, 3.50 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 6-2, 2.62 ERA

Nationals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Nationals vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+22.20 Units / 317% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jose Tena has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 36% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 32% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 away games (+10.80 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in his last 15 games at home (+15.95 Units / 47% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+15.30 Units / 61% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.95 Units / 49% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
• Nick Martinez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in his last 10 games (+11.10 Units / 77% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+23.60 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 45 away games (+19.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 50 away games (+18.75 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+17.35 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 45 away games (+17.20 Units / 31% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+20.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+13.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+8.75 Units / 18% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 48-28 against the Run Line (+12.55 Units / 11.63% ROI).

• 40-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.6 Units / 15.73% ROI
• 47-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.6 Units / 20.75% ROI
• 27-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.45 Units / -28.88% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 42-31 against the Run Line (+14.4 Units / 15.73% ROI).

• 42-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 8.42% ROI
• 33-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -8.27% ROI
• 36-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -0.99% ROI

Rays vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Nationals are 34-6 (.850) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Nationals are 24-15 (.615) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .467.

The Nationals are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals are just 18-56 (.240) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .360.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Rays are 25-10 (.714) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Rays are 8-24 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .138.

The Rays are 32-1 (.970) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Rays are 32-2 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .862.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

The Nationals are batting .275 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .801 (817 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Nationals are batting just .205 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have scored 135 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have 172 extra-base hits out of 626 total hits (just 28%) this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 118 extra-base hits out of 428 total hits (just 28%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rays are batting .204 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.9 MPH (2,055 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .276 (655 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Rays pitchers this season traveled 492.2 feet — — 4th longest in MLB

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Nationals vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.