- The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Nationals / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | NATV
The Washington Nationals (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on June 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Boston, MA.
This season, the Nationals are 43-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 37-44 ATS.
Nationals vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Cade Cavalli 4-4, 4.00 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Connelly Early 7-5, 3.58 ERA
Nationals vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -180 | O 9 -105 | +110 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -115 | -135 |
Nationals vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 away games (+25.00 Units / 278% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+11.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Caleb Durbin has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+25.00 Units / 417% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Caleb Durbin has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+7.45 Units / 93% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 away games (+21.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 50 games (+19.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+18.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 50 away games (+18.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 50 away games (+16.00 Units / 26% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 79% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 52-32 against the Run Line (+11.85 Units / 9.89% ROI).
- 43-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.3 Units / 11.51% ROI
- 51-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.2 Units / 17.14% ROI
- 32-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.95 Units / -25.28% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 37-44 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -8.24% ROI).
- 37-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.55 Units / -18.22% ROI
- 37-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -11.83% ROI
- 43-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 2.31% ROI
Red Sox vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| James Wood | +350 |
| Willson Contreras | +360 |
| Wilyer Abreu | +375 |
| Dylan Crews | +400 |
| Curtis Mead | +450 |
Red Sox vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Curtis Mead | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| James Wood | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dylan Crews | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Red Sox vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Narvaez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nasim Nunez | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Dylan Crews | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Andres Chaparro | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Nationals are just 34-11 (.756) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Nationals are 37-8 (.822) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Nationals are just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Nationals are 26-18 (.591) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Red Sox are just 2-24 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Red Sox are just 0-41 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .057.
The Red Sox are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 10-17 (.370) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Nationals (27th runs allowed).
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (404 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are batting just .218 with two outs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .739 (3,301 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Nationals are batting just .205 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters are slugging .258 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Red Sox are batting .265 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Red Sox are just 2-24 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .681 (2,346 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 6.02 runs per game (253/42) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.9 MPH (2,284 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
The Red Sox have allowed 0.98 runs per game (81/83) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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