- The Reds are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Nationals / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | NATV
The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-165) on May 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Nationals are against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are ATS.
Nationals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 1-4, 5.22 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 0-1, 6.75 ERA
Nationals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -140 | O 9 -105 | +140 |
| Reds | -1.5 +118 | U 9 -115 | -165 |
Nationals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brady House has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+14.70 Units / 163% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jake Irvin has hit the Earned Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jake Irvin has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 73% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 20 games (+17.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.85 Units / 43% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 away games (+19.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 35 away games (+13.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 away games (+13.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+5.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+4.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.15 Units / 29% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Reds vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz | +310 |
| JJ Bleday | +310 |
| Sal Stewart | +310 |
| James Wood | +340 |
| William Benson | +350 |
Reds vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Curtis Mead | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| James Wood | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Reds vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt McLain | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| CJ Abrams | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| William Benson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Nationals are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Nationals are just 7-12 (.368) after a win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Nationals are 16-3 (.842) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Nationals are just 14-5 (.737) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Reds are 3-18 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Reds are 4-14 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Reds are 19-4 (.826) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Reds are just 10-66 (.132) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .176 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .260 (196 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of .273 (835 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .761 (503 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 5th best in MLB.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .185 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .285 (679 PA’s) with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .125 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .198 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 6.58 runs per game (125/19) at home this season — highest in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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