Nationals vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 13

Reds player Tyler Stephenson looking discontented.
(AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)
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  • The Reds are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
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The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-165) on May 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Nationals are against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are ATS.

Nationals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 1-4, 5.22 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 0-1, 6.75 ERA

Nationals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -140O 9 -105+140
Reds -1.5 +118U 9 -115-165

Nationals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brady House has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+14.70 Units / 163% ROI)
  • James Wood has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jake Irvin has hit the Earned Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jake Irvin has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 73% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 20 games (+17.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • TJ Friedl has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 away games (+19.20 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 35 away games (+13.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 away games (+13.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.35 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+5.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+4.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.15 Units / 29% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Reds vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Elly De La Cruz +310
JJ Bleday +310
Sal Stewart +310
James Wood +340
William Benson +350

Reds vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Sal Stewart 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Curtis Mead 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Spencer Steer 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
James Wood 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Reds vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt McLain 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
CJ Abrams 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
William Benson 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Spencer Steer 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Nationals are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Nationals are just 7-12 (.368) after a win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Nationals are 16-3 (.842) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Nationals are just 14-5 (.737) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Reds are 3-18 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Reds are 4-14 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Reds are 19-4 (.826) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Reds are just 10-66 (.132) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Nationals are batting just .176 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .260 (196 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .273 (835 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .761 (503 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .185 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .285 (679 PA’s) with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .125 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .198 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 6.58 runs per game (125/19) at home this season — highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.