- The Royals are -125 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Washington Nationals (+105) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-125) on Saturday, May 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Royals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Nationals vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 22-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 19-33 ATS.
Nationals vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -185 | O 9.5 -115 | +105 |
| Royals | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 -105 | -125 |
Nationals vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+13.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.40 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+11.10 Units / 91% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+10.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
Royals vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Royals vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -185 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Royals vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Royals vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josiah Gray | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Brady Singer | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+9.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+1.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 32-19 against the Run Line (+11.35 Units / 17.75% ROI).
- 22-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 8.7% ROI
- 23-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -6.13% ROI
- 24-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -1.79% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 19-33 against the Run Line (-19.1 Units / -30.1% ROI).
- 15-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.25 Units / -32.03% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -8.36% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -0.88% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
11 of Josiah Gray’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 97th Percentile.
11 of Josiah Gray’s 35 breaking pitch strikeouts (31%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 97th Percentile.
Josiah Gray has walked 64 of 402 left-handed batters (16%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray has walked 18 of 131 batters (14%) over the last 30 days (5 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has an ERA of 7.48 (49.1 IP)this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.88 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 59% (94/160) against Brady Singer this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 64% (33/52) against Brady Singer on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed a slugging percentage of .547 (110 Total Bases / 201 ABs) this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .402 — second Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Nationals are just 20-3 (.870) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Nationals are just 1-124 (.008) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Nationals are just 24-117 (.170) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Nationals are just 77-136 (.362) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Royals are just 3-8 (.273) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .680.
The Royals are just 7-20 (.259) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Royals are just 10-8 (.556) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Royals are just 5-59 (.078) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 110 strikeouts in 627 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.69 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Nationals hitters have just 507 strikeouts in 2,574 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have 83 extra-base hits out of 330 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 29% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .282 (1,413 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .276 (911 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .331 against Royals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Royals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have walked 62 of 461 batters (13%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Royals have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
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