- The Nationals are -110 favorites vs the Royals
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
- Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Washington Nationals (-110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-110) on Sunday, May 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Nationals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Nationals vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 23-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 19-34 ATS.
Nationals vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | -1.5 +150 | O 9 +100 | -110 |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | U 9 -120 | -110 |
Nationals vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+12.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+11.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+11.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+10.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+10.10 Units / 76% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Royals vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Michael Chavis | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Royals vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Michael Chavis | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Royals vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Michael Chavis | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Gore | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Daniel Lynch | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 46 games (+16.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+10.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 41 games (+3.40 Units / 8% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.40 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.35 Units / 21% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 33-19 against the Run Line (+12.35 Units / 18.78% ROI).
- 23-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 10.53% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -7.85% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 19-34 against the Run Line (-20.1 Units / -31.19% ROI).
- 15-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.5 Units / -33.58% ROI
- 24-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -10.01% ROI
- 27-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.86% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has allowed a slugging percentage of just .143 (7 Total Bases / 49 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — 97th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has walked 27 of 223 batters (12%) this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .122 (6-for-49) against MacKenzie Gore’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.
75% of MacKenzie Gore’s fastball strikeouts are elevatedthis season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 54% — 92nd Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Daniel Lynch has allowed a slugging percentage of .522 (93 Total Bases / 178 ABs) on breaking pitches since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .369 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 48% (194/401) against Daniel Lynch since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (55/105) against Daniel Lynch on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 49% (172/352) against Daniel Lynch against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Nationals are just 12-23 (.343) after a home win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Nationals are just 25-47 (.347) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Nationals are just 25-117 (.176) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Nationals are just 4-5 (.444) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Royals are just 3-8 (.273) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .679.
The Royals are just 7-21 (.250) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Royals are just 15-33 (.312) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Royals are just 5-59 (.078) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have 81 extra-base hits out of 306 total hits (just 27%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters have 88 extra-base hits out of 313 total hits (just 28%) in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Nationals hitters have just 262 strikeouts in 1,339 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .282 (1,451 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 25% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Royals have won just 43% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have walked 176 of 1,884 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have walked 14 of 104 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Royals vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Nationals vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
