Nationals vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 13

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Detroit Tigers' Parker Meadows reacts after hitting a double against the Oakland Athletics during the third inning of a baseball game Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023, in Oakland, Calif.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 13, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Tigers are -155 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Nationals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Nationals / Tigers TV Channel: MAS2 | BSDT | MLBN

The Washington Nationals (+125) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-155) on Thursday, June 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Nationals are 32-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 30-37 ATS.

Nationals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 1-7, 6.19 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 1-4, 4.71 ERA

Nationals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -155O 9 -110+125
Tigers -1.5 +125U 9 -110-155

Nationals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 28 games (+15.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 32 games (+11.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+11.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+10.85 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+26.10 Units / 326% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 35 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 45 games (+9.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Gio Urshela has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 35 games (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 59 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 59 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 away games (+8.35 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 away games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+7.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 41-26 against the Run Line (+11.63 Units / 13.24% ROI).

  • 32-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.15 Units / 16.37% ROI
  • 30-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.05 Units / -8.25% ROI
  • 33-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.17 Units / -0.23% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 30-37 against the Run Line (-9.6 Units / -10.73% ROI).

  • 32-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -7.16% ROI
  • 38-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.4 Units / 17.58% ROI
  • 23-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.9 Units / -26.85% ROI

Tigers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Rogers (DET) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Andy Ibanez (DET) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Justyn-Henry Malloy (DET) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Lane Thomas (WAS) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
CJ Abrams (WAS) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Tigers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario (WAS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Justyn-Henry Malloy (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Jake Rogers (DET) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Tigers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gio Urshela (DET) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Lane Thomas (WAS) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Andy Ibanez (DET) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Joey Meneses (WAS) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Tigers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Casey Mize (DET) 3.5 -120 3.5 -110
Patrick Corbin (WAS) 3.5 +105 3.5 -140

Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .557 (160 Total Bases / 287 ABs) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .932 (320 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .669 — first Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .731 (49 Total Bases / 67 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .343 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .316 (197-for-623) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — third Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting .524 (11-for-21) against Casey Mize this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 — first Percentile.

Casey Mize has allowed an OBP of .522 (23 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.

Casey Mize has a strikeout rate of just 29% (39 SO in 136 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Casey Mize has allowed an OBP of .522 (23 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Nationals are 5-1 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.

The Nationals are just 2-12 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.

The Nationals are just 18-28 (.391) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Tigers are just 20-7 (.741) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.

The Tigers are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Tigers are just 40-50 (.444) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Tigers are 14-2 (.875) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .621 (711 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Nationals are just 3-14 (.176) against the run line (-55.2% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .913 (1,585 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.082.

Nationals hitters have 81 extra-base hits out of 262 total hits (just 31%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (10,985 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .359 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .679 (6,647 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .651 (10,985 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .353 (2,022 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 186 of 2,510 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 299 of 3,471 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Tigers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
  • Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
  • Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
  • Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.