Nationals vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 23

Detroit Tigers' Spencer Torkelson celebrates his three-run home run against the Kansas City Royals in the seventh inning of a baseball game, Thursday, Sept. 28, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
MLB Promos This Week
  • The Tigers are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Nationals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Nationals / Tigers TV Channel: DSN | NATV | WJBK

The Washington Nationals (+150) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-185) on September 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Nationals are 74-84 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 75-77 ATS.

Nationals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Nationals starting pitcher: Richard Lovelady 3-4, 3.86 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 10-11, 4.07 ERA

Nationals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -145O 7.5 -102+150
Tigers -1.5 +118U 7.5 -118-185

Nationals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+13.30 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+12.00 Units / 150% ROI)
  • James Wood has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Brady House has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Cade Cavalli has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 8 games (+8.35 Units / 84% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ben Malgeri has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+12.50 Units / 179% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+10.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 away games (+4.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+3.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+15.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+7.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.90 Units / 22% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 88-68 against the Run Line (+6.9 Units / 3.24% ROI).

  • 74-84 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 0.5% ROI
  • 83-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.85 Units / 5.66% ROI
  • 67-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.85 Units / -13.73% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 75-77 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -2.8% ROI).

  • 74-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.65 Units / -11.11% ROI
  • 69-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.85 Units / -11.41% ROI
  • 81-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 3.11% ROI

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Nationals are just 35-26 (.574) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 58-20 (.744) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 2-63 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 1-73 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Tigers are just 64-40 (.615) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 60-18 (.769) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 4-10 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .286 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have 352 extra-base hits out of 910 total hits (39%) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have 514 extra-base hits out of 1,329 total hits (39%) this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .544 (3,174 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have been successful in just 56% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .134 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .158 with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.03 (711.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 5.51 runs per game (430/78) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 1.85 runs per game (293/158) in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.29 (699.1 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 118 double plays in 1,086 opportunities (11%) this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Tigers have allowed 2.10 runs per game (332/158) in the first 5 innings this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.