- The Yankees are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón
- Watch the game on YES
The Washington Nationals (+150) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-185) on Tuesday, August 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Nationals vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 57-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 59-65 ATS.
Nationals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -115 | +150 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -105 | -185 |
Nationals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 74.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 away games (+16.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+12.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+9.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 61% ROI)
Yankees vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Yankees vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Yankees vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Yankees vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josiah Gray | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 60 away games (+13.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.30 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.54 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games (+15.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.79 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 66 games at home (+2.45 Units / 3% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 69-56 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 4.06% ROI).
- 57-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.6 Units / 15.34% ROI
- 57-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -7.53% ROI
- 61-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -0.74% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 59-65 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -6.18% ROI).
- 60-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -9.29% ROI
- 57-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -8.89% ROI
- 63-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.15% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .407 (22-for-54) against Josiah Gray on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .260 — first Percentile.
23 of Josiah Gray’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed an OBP of .311 (309 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has walked 84 of 568 left-handed batters (15%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (364/719) when behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (428/834) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (110 SO in 285 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .263 (20-for-76) against Carlos Rodon on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 95th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Nationals are just 32-51 (.386) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Nationals are just 33-151 (.179) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.
The Nationals are just 35-58 (.376) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Nationals are just 112-175 (.390) since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are just 12-24 (.333) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Yankees are 54-30 (.643) after a home win since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Yankees are just 8-44 (.154) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .898 (900 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.107.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.78 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters have 224 extra-base hits out of 730 total hits (just 31%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters have just 886 strikeouts in 4,705 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .294 (2,755 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .302 (2,336 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Yankees are batting just .320 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
The Yankees are batting .348 against LHP over the last 30 days (15 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Yankees pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- William McKinney (Yankees): Back, D10
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D60
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Nail, Day-to-Day
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Garcia (Nationals): Biceps, D15
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