- The Orioles are -190 favorites vs the Angels
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
- Angels starting pitcher: Kenneth Rosenberg
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Baltimore Orioles (-190) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+155) on Monday, September 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Orioles vs Angels Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 85-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 62-75 ATS.
Orioles vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 -115 | O 9 -110 | -190 |
| Angels | +1.5 -105 | U 9 -110 | +155 |
Orioles vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 78.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+12.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kyle Bradish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 23 away games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+15.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 games (+13.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Angels vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Angels vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Angels vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Angels vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kenny Rosenberg | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -105 |
| Grayson Rodriguez | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 76 of their last 123 games (+26.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 68 away games (+7.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+4.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games (+2.93 Units / 4% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+11.39 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.38 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 83-53 against the Run Line (+25.4 Units / 14.31% ROI).
- 85-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +31.1 Units / 17.78% ROI
- 68-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 5.43% ROI
- 55-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.15 Units / -13.44% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 62-75 against the Run Line (-21.5 Units / -12.31% ROI).
- 64-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.95 Units / -11.5% ROI
- 68-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.3% ROI
- 62-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.1 Units / -8.09% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .100 (20 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — best in AL over the last week; League Avg: .288 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .146 (7 GB hits out of 48 GBs) against Grayson Rodriguez with runners on base this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 95th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez allowed an OPS of just .205 (20 PA’s) — 4th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .674 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .053 (1-for-19) against Grayson Rodriguez — tied for 2nd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .230 — 98th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kenny Rosenberg has walked 7 of 37 batters (19%) over the last 30 days (2 games) — tied for 11th highest among among 227 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — fifth Percentile.
Kenny Rosenberg has allowed an OBP of .519 (27 PA’s) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (2 games) — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .326 — third Percentile.
Kenny Rosenberg has walked 5 of 27 right-handed batters (18%) over the last 30 days (2 games) — 6th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 9% — sixth Percentile.
Kenny Rosenberg has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (45/95) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (2 games) — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Orioles are just 0-41 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Orioles are 53-40 (.570) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Orioles are 33-18 (.647) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Orioles are 42-25 (.627) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Angels are just 17-81 (.173) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 26-20 (.565) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Angels are just 52-34 (.605) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 181-114 (.609) against the run line (13.3% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are 81-46 (.628) against the run line (18.0% ROI) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The Orioles are 96-52 (.649) against the run line (16.7% ROI) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 61% at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .272 (878 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Angels are batting just .219 with two outs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Angels hitters have missed on 29% of swings this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Angels are batting just .217 with two outs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .176 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Orioles pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Orioles have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,065 of 11,315 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Angels pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% against Angels pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Back, D10
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Chase Silseth (Angels): Head, D7
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Cron (Angels): Back, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D60
- Joseph Ward (Angels): Face, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D60
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Félix Bautista (Orioles): Arm, D15
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
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