- The Orioles are -175 favorites vs the Angels
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Baltimore Orioles (-175) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+145) on Tuesday, September 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Orioles vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 86-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 62-76 ATS.
Orioles vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -105 | -175 |
| Angels | +1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -115 | +145 |
Orioles vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 57.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+14.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kyle Bradish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+10.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.10 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+15.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 39 games (+14.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
Angels vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Angels vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Angels vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Angels vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Reid Detmers | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 124 games (+27.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 69 away games (+8.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+3.93 Units / 6% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.39 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+9.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.38 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 84-53 against the Run Line (+26.4 Units / 14.77% ROI).
- 86-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +32.1 Units / 18.17% ROI
- 69-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +9 Units / 6.06% ROI
- 55-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.2 Units / -14.04% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 62-76 against the Run Line (-22.5 Units / -12.81% ROI).
- 64-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.95 Units / -12.01% ROI
- 69-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 0.36% ROI
- 62-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.15 Units / -8.73% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (25/78) against Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (294/1,210) against Dean Kremer this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 23% (38 SO in 165 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — eighth Percentile.
Dean Kremer has located his pitches away 56% of the time (1,376/2,480) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (78/253) against Reid Detmers this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (86/280) against Reid Detmers on pitches in the strike zone this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 28% (149/530) against Reid Detmers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (97/337) against Reid Detmers this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Orioles are 53-40 (.570) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Orioles are 13-5 (.722) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 26-17 (.605) after a road win this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Orioles are 64-5 (.928) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .855.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 52-34 (.605) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Angels are just 17-82 (.172) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Angels are just 10-40 (.200) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 30-13 (.698) against the run line (27.3% ROI) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Orioles are batting .252 with two outs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) against the run line (42.5% ROI) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are 83-52 (.610) against the run line (17.0% ROI) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .273 (881 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have 2,816 strikeouts in 11,242 PA’s (25%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have 2,077 strikeouts in 8,098 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OPS of 1.231 (982 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.103.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .183 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .232 against Orioles pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .238 against Orioles pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 125 of 1,219 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 247 of 2,659 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Shohei Ohtani (Angels): Oblique, Day-to-Day
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Back, D10
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Chase Silseth (Angels): Head, D7
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Cron (Angels): Back, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D60
- Joseph Ward (Angels): Face, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D60
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Félix Bautista (Orioles): Arm, D15
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
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