• The Orioles are -105 favorites vs the Astros
• Orioles vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Orioles / Astros TV Channel: MASN | SCHN

The Baltimore Orioles (-105) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-115) on July 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Orioles are 46-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 48-50 ATS.

Orioles vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 1-2, 4.09 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Tatsuya Imai 5-4, 6.10 ERA

Orioles vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Astros and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+12.10 Units / 81% ROI)
• Samuel Basallo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+10.35 Units / 259% ROI)
• Kyle Bradish has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 40% ROI)
• Blaze Alexander has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yainer Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+18.20 Units / 364% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.95 Units / 41% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 49% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+5.65 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.70 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.55 Units / 26% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+9.00 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+5.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.25 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+4.85 Units / 7% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 47-49 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -3.03% ROI).

• 46-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -8.5% ROI
• 52-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 5.33% ROI
• 42-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -15 Units / -14.09% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 48-50 against the Run Line (-9.6 Units / -7.15% ROI).

• 47-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -6.06% ROI
• 52-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 6.4% ROI
• 40-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.65 Units / -15.68% ROI

Astros vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 10-41 (.196) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Orioles are just 10-41 (.196) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Astros are just 19-28 (.404) after a win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Astros are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 41-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Astros are 35-2 (.946) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .866.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .179 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .131 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .153 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Astros are batting just .232 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Astros have scored 197 runs with two outs this season — most in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of just .306 (1,715 PA’s) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (228.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in the first 5 innings this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 4.77 (426.0 IP) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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