• The Orioles are -110 favorites vs the Astros
• Orioles vs Astros Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Orioles / Astros TV Channel: MASN | SCHN

The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-110) on July 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Orioles are against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are ATS.

Orioles vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 6-7, 4.52 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 7-5, 4.54 ERA

Orioles vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Astros and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+12.10 Units / 81% ROI)
• Samuel Basallo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+10.35 Units / 259% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.70 Units / 28% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in his last 7 games (+8.30 Units / 114% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yainer Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+18.20 Units / 364% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 47% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 33% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.85 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 away games (+5.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games (+5.05 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 72% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+7.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.15 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+4.85 Units / 7% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Astros vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Orioles are just 11-41 (.212) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 11-41 (.212) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Astros are just 19-28 (.404) after a win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Astros are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 41-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .946.

The Astros are just 19-28 (.404) after a win since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

The Orioles are batting just .230 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .178 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .152 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

The Astros have scored 197 runs with two outs this season — most in MLB.

Astros hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Astros hitters have 32 extra-base hits out of 112 total hits (just 29%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (228.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in the first 5 innings this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 4.81 (874.1 IP) this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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