- The Orioles are -102 favorites vs the Astros
- Orioles vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Astros TV Channel: MASN | SCHN
The Baltimore Orioles (-102) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-118) on July 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Houston, TX.
This season, the Orioles are 48-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 48-52 ATS.
Orioles vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 6-9, 3.64 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 1-0, 3.57 ERA
Orioles vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -115 | -102 |
| Astros | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -105 | -118 |
Orioles vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+10.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+9.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Samuel Basallo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+9.35 Units / 187% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in his last 8 games (+9.30 Units / 111% ROI)
- Kyle Bradish has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+17.20 Units / 287% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+7.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 44% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+2.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+2.45 Units / 3% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 49-49 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -1.23% ROI).
- 48-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -6.66% ROI
- 52-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 3.16% ROI
- 44-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -13 Units / -11.97% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 48-52 against the Run Line (-12 Units / -8.78% ROI).
- 47-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -7.94% ROI
- 52-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.75 Units / 4.25% ROI
- 42-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.65 Units / -13.52% ROI
Astros vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | +210 |
| Pete Alonso | +333 |
| Christian Walker | +340 |
| Isaac Paredes | +390 |
| Gunnar Henderson | +425 |
Astros vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Astros vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Holliday | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cam Smith | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles were just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Astros are just 19-28 (.404) after a win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Astros are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 41-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Astros are 41-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB.
The Orioles are batting just .130 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Orioles are batting just .151 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .177 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Astros hitters have 32 extra-base hits out of 114 total hits (just 28%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Astros have scored first in just 32% of their games against division opponents this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Astros are batting just .231 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (228.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — 4th highest in MLB.
The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 54% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles won just 14% of the time since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — highest in MLB.
Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 56% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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