Orioles vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 19

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(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 19, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Orioles are -185 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Kenneth Waldichuk
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The Baltimore Orioles (-185) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+150) on Saturday, August 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:07pm EDT in Oakland.

The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Orioles vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Orioles are 75-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 57-64 ATS.

Orioles vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles-1.5 -110O 8.5 +100-185
Athletics +1.5 -110U 8.5 -120+150

Orioles vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 74.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Orioles vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 away games (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jordan Westburg has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 29 games (+8.80 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.55 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Zack Gelof has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jonah Bride has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 16% ROI)

Athletics vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jordan Westburg 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Nick Allen 0.5 +1250 0.5
Jordan Diaz 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Carlos Perez 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Athletics vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 +185 1.5 -250
Jordan Westburg 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Nick Allen 0.5 -155 0.5 +120
Jordan Diaz 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Carlos Perez 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Athletics vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Jordan Westburg 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Nick Allen 0.5 +333 0.5 -500
Jordan Diaz 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Carlos Perez 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Athletics vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cole Irvin 4.5 +130 4.5 -175
Ken Waldichuk 5.5 +100 5.5 -135
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 68 of their last 109 games (+25.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 63 away games (+4.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 66 of their last 108 games (+18.84 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 62 games (+8.69 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 61 games (+6.84 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 75-47 against the Run Line (+24.1 Units / 15.05% ROI).

  • 75-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +27.3 Units / 18.19% ROI
  • 60-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 3.29% ROI
  • 51-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.3 Units / -11.39% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 57-64 against the Run Line (-11.4 Units / -8.25% ROI).

  • 33-88 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.8 Units / -26.46% ROI
  • 62-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 1.89% ROI
  • 53-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -11.08% ROI

Cole Irvin has an average spin rate of 2103.6 RPM on curveballs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 2528.3 — sixth Percentile.

Cole Irvin has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to June 26th — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 11.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (159/756) against Cole Irvin on non-fastballs since last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 31% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (23/120) against Cole Irvin on inside fastballs since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

14 of Ken Waldichuk’s 43 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 98th Percentile.

Ken Waldichuk has an ERA of 7.34 (30.2 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 4.28 — first Percentile.

Ken Waldichuk has walked 52 of 484 right-handed batters (11%) since last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.

Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OBP of .307 (244 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .248 — fourth Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Orioles are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Orioles are 52-40 (.565) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

The Orioles are 30-17 (.638) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Orioles are 11-4 (.733) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Athletics are just 73-58 (.557) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Athletics are just 22-7 (.759) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.

The Athletics are just 22-11 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.

The Athletics are just 20-66 (.233) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Orioles are 44-18 (.710) against the run line (30.8% ROI) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.

The Orioles are 173-108 (.611) against the run line (14.0% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of 62% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Orioles are batting .385 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .350.

The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .352 against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .157 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .640 (7,628 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .177 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 172 of 2,533 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.55 (516.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.

The Athletics have allowed 6.32 runs per game (392/62) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.59.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Athletics pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Athletics vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Angel Felipe (Athletics): Elbow, D15
  • Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Arm, D15
  • James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Ryan Noda (Athletics): Jaw, D10
  • Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Jeffrey Bleday (Athletics): Knee, D10
  • Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
  • Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Calf, D15
  • Anthony Santander (Orioles): General Soreness, Day-to-Day
  • Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D15
  • Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Back, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Orioles): Biceps, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.