- The Orioles are -190 favorites vs the Athletics
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
- Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Baltimore Orioles (-190) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+155) on Sunday, August 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Orioles vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 76-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 57-65 ATS.
Orioles vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -115 | -190 |
| Athletics | +1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -105 | +155 |
Orioles vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 78.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 away games (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 29 games (+8.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+8.50 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.80 Units / 72% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.70 Units / 83% ROI)
Athletics vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1450 | 0.5 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
Athletics vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Athletics vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Athletics vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -165 |
| JP Sears | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 69 of their last 110 games (+26.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 64 away games (+5.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 67 of their last 109 games (+19.84 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 63 games (+7.49 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 62 games (+5.84 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.79 Units / 24% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 76-47 against the Run Line (+25.1 Units / 15.57% ROI).
- 76-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +28.3 Units / 18.64% ROI
- 61-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.35 Units / 4.01% ROI
- 51-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.35 Units / -12.08% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 57-65 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -8.97% ROI).
- 33-89 when betting on the Moneyline for -32.8 Units / -27.06% ROI
- 63-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 2.61% ROI
- 53-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.65 Units / -11.78% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 6.18 (102.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .146 (7-for-48) against Kyle Bradish in late innings since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 65% (51/78) against Kyle Bradish on fastballs away since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed three-ball counts to 16% of batters they faced (96/615 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (107/377) against JP Sears this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (83/302) against JP Sears this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 23% (33 SO in 144 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (53/162) against JP Sears in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — third Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Orioles are 52-40 (.565) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Orioles are 30-17 (.638) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Orioles are 74-36 (.673) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Orioles are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Athletics are just 73-58 (.557) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Athletics are just 73-15 (.830) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Athletics are just 23-4 (.852) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Athletics are just 22-7 (.759) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 27-13 (.675) against the run line (23.8% ROI) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Orioles on 50% of their plate appearances this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.. *
The Orioles are 93-51 (.646) against the run line (16.4% ROI) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .503.
The Orioles are 45-18 (.714) against the run line (31.8% ROI) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,117 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Athletics are batting just .211 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Athletics are batting just .219 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .640 (7,645 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .178 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Orioles have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 1 of 54 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.75 (1078.2 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 46% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus the bottom of the order this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Athletics vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Angel Felipe (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Arm, D15
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Austin Pruitt (Athletics): Forearm, D15
- Ryan Noda (Athletics): Jaw, D10
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Jeffrey Bleday (Athletics): Knee, D10
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Calf, D15
- Anthony Santander (Orioles): Back, Day-to-Day
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D15
- Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Back, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Orioles): Biceps, D15
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