Orioles vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 7

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(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 07, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Orioles are -185 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Orioles vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Orioles / Athletics TV Channel: MAS2 | NSCA

The Baltimore Orioles (-185) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+150) on Sunday, July 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland, CA.

This season, the Orioles are 56-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 46-45 ATS.

Orioles vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 10-3, 3.47 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Mitch Spence 5-4, 4.20 ERA

Orioles vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles-1.5 -110O 8 -110-185
Athletics +1.5 -110U 8 -110+150

Orioles vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 67.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Orioles vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+17.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.35 Units / 69% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+26.40 Units / 264% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+13.95 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 80 games (+16.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 74 games (+15.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games at home (+6.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+4.10 Units / 36% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 49-40 against the Run Line (+16.8 Units / 16.35% ROI).

  • 56-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.15 Units / 8.79% ROI
  • 45-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.2 Units / 9.55% ROI
  • 33-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.75 Units / -17.21% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 46-45 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -7.43% ROI).

  • 34-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -10.75% ROI
  • 39-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.15 Units / -15.21% ROI
  • 49-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 5.32% ROI

Athletics vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Athletics vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Miguel Andujar (OAK) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
JJ Bleday (OAK) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Athletics vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200

Athletics vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) 6.5 -140 6.5 +105
Mitch Spence (OAK) 4.5 +115 4.5 -150

Grayson Rodriguez has allowed a .482 SLG vs right-handed batters (fourth worst)– fifth Percentile and just .287 vs left-handed batters this season (third best among qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez allowed a batting average of .276 vs right-handed batters (eighth worst)– 10th Percentile and just .192 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth best among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (81/210) against Grayson Rodriguez when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (39/127) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mitch Spence has located his fastball inside 50% of the time (46/92) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.

Mitch Spence has thrown breaking pitches 65% of the time (219/335) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .371 (23-for-62) against Mitch Spence with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .252 — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 67% of Mitch Spence’s pitches (223/335) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 99th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Orioles are 56-43 (.566) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.

The Orioles are 51-29 (.638) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Orioles are 154-75 (.672) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Orioles are 48-61 (.440) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .302.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.

The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

The Athletics are just 45-80 (.360) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Athletics are just 77-131 (.370) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

team hitters – away

team hitters – home

The Orioles have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 2.61 (234.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

Orioles pitchers have walked 248 of 3,696 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.62 (1056.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Athletics vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.