- The Orioles are -110 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Hyun Jin Ryu
- Watch the game on SNET
The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on Tuesday, August 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 65-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 51-56 ATS.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 -110 | -110 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -110 | -110 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 48 games (+14.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Under in his last 11 games (+13.65 Units / 68% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+12.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 11 games (+11.70 Units / 73% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ryan McKenna | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Austin Hays | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ryan McKenna | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ryan McKenna | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
| Hyun-Jin Ryu | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 103 games (+24.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 53 away games (+21.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 53 away games (+6.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 53 away games (+5.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+15.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 82 games (+15.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.20 Units / 34% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 64-42 against the Run Line (+19.45 Units / 14.14% ROI).
- 65-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +23.7 Units / 18.04% ROI
- 53-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 3.46% ROI
- 45-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.5 Units / -11.47% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 51-56 against the Run Line (-7.6 Units / -5.67% ROI).
- 59-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -5.12% ROI
- 44-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -16.38% ROI
- 58-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.45 Units / 7.98% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (33 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .408 — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (12/19) against Kyle Bradish — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 95th Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .259 (64 Total Bases / 247 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .384 — 95th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .346 (9-for-26) against Kyle Bradish — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — sixth Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hyun Jin Ryu has walked 41 of 814 batters (5%) since the 2021 season — tied for 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 170 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Hyun Jin Ryu’s highest spin rate on changeups since the 2021 season is 1922.0 RPM — fewest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 167 total IP; League Avg: 2626.5
Hyun Jin Ryu’s highest spin rate on two-strike changeups since the 2021 season is 1870.0 RPM — 8th fewest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 167 total IP; League Avg: 2287.9
49 of Hyun Jin Ryu’s 159 strikeouts (31%) have come on cutters since the 2021 season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 170 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 96th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 49-39 (.557) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Orioles are 109-6 (.948) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Orioles are 63-31 (.670) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Orioles are 26-15 (.634) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 15-9 (.625) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are 9-3 (.750) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Blue Jays are just 5-33 (.132) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Blue Jays are 60-85 (.414) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .287.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting .391 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .449 (139 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Orioles are batting just .134 versus relief pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 60% at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 410 strikeouts in 2,109 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have 58 extra-base hits out of 201 total hits (just 29%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Blue Jays are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .182 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Blue Jays have allowed 3.55 runs per game (181/51) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.60.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 759 of 10,127 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Knee , Day-to-Day
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Jordan Romano (Blue Jays): Back, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Quad, D10
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D15
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
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