Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 15

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 15, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Blue Jays (61-52) are -155 favorites vs the Orioles (59-55)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish (1-4), 6.42 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi (4-6), 5.12 ERA
  • Watch the game on SNET

The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-155) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 59-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 48-65 ATS.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -150O 9 -115+125
Blue Jays -1.5 +125U 9 -105-155

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s matchup with 59.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+14.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 35 games (+14.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.40 Units / 26% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Danny Jansen has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 56 games (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Anthony Santander 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Austin Hays 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Anthony Santander 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Austin Hays 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Anthony Santander 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Austin Hays 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yusei Kikuchi 5.5 +100 5.5 -145
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 94 games (+28.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 94 games (+26.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 76 games (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 52 games (+9.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 91 games (+9.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 71 games (+22.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 72 games (+13.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 74-40 against the Run Line (+26.3 Units / 17.48% ROI).

  • 59-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.35 Units / 18.56% ROI
  • 54-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -4.1% ROI
  • 55-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -3.54% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 48-65 against the Run Line (-21.75 Units / -15.93% ROI).

  • 61-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.05 Units / -11.04% ROI
  • 58-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -1.34% ROI
  • 54-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.8 Units / -8.61% ROI

Division opponents are hitting .366 (49-for-134) against Kyle Bradish this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has allowed a BABIP of .372 this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .289 — second Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 6.42 (61.2 IP)this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 3.81 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .314 (77-for-245) against Kyle Bradish this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .243 — second Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yusei Kikuchi has walked 42 of 290 right-handed batters (14%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has walked 24 of 138 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has walked 46 of 352 batters (13%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an OPS of 1.559 (66 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 1.031 — 0 Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are 33-21 (.611) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Orioles are 7-47 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Orioles are 18-4 (.818) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .667.

The Orioles are just 11-25 (.306) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are 50-13 (.794) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Blue Jays are just 2-42 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Blue Jays are 35-23 (.603) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Blue Jays are 153-10 (.939) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .301 (6,841 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .228 (2,281 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 44% at home since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

The Blue Jays are batting .265 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Blue Jays hitters have 3 strikeouts in 3 PA’s (100%) against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .453 against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .783 (2,412 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.87 (1109.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 772 of 10,128 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 37% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 299 of 4,212 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Thomas Stripling (Blue Jays): Glute/Hip, D15
  • Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.