- The Blue Jays (61-53) are -225 favorites vs the Orioles (60-55)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (4-4), 3.69 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (12-5), 2.56 ERA
- Watch the game on SNET
The Baltimore Orioles (+180) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-225) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 60-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 48-66 ATS.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -115 | O 8.5 +100 | +180 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -120 | -225 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+13.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+11.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+12.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 70 games (+10.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+9.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.60 Units / 35% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -130 |
| Dean Kremer | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 95 games (+29.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 95 games (+27.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 77 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 53 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 92 games (+10.10 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 72 games (+23.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 75-40 against the Run Line (+27.3 Units / 17.97% ROI).
- 60-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +23.7 Units / 19.51% ROI
- 55-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -3.26% ROI
- 55-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -4.33% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 48-66 against the Run Line (-22.75 Units / -16.54% ROI).
- 61-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.6 Units / -11.75% ROI
- 59-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -0.52% ROI
- 54-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -9.37% ROI
Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (65/197) against Dean Kremer this season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Dean Kremer has not walked any of the 25 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (237/505) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .307 (39-for-127) against Dean Kremer on the road this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .248 — fifth Percentile.
Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .167 (40-for-239) against Alek Manoah this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .220 (259 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .162 (71-for-438) against Alek Manoah since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed a BABIP of .216 against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 43-1 (.977) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .887.
The Orioles are 46-2 (.958) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Orioles are 33-21 (.611) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Orioles are just 26-113 (.187) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 52-3 (.945) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Blue Jays are just 2-43 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Blue Jays are just 8-11 (.421) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 48-2 (.960) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .887.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles hitters have 340 strikeouts in 1,371 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .663 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Blue Jays hitters have 4 extra-base hits out of 6 total hits (67%) against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Blue Jays hitters have 2 strikeouts in 3 PA’s (67%) against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.84 (1118.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 37% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 778 of 10,168 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 305 of 4,252 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Blue Jays): Glute/Hip, D15
- Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
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