Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 16

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 16, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Blue Jays (61-53) are -225 favorites vs the Orioles (60-55)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (4-4), 3.69 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (12-5), 2.56 ERA
  • Watch the game on SNET

The Baltimore Orioles (+180) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-225) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 60-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 48-66 ATS.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -115O 8.5 +100+180
Blue Jays -1.5 -105U 8.5 -120-225

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+13.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+11.00 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+12.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 70 games (+10.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+9.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.60 Units / 35% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Bo Bichette 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Cavan Biggio 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
George Springer 0.5 +325 0.5 -500
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bo Bichette 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Cavan Biggio 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Lourdes Gurriel 1.5 +160 1.5 -250
Matt Chapman 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Raimel Tapia 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Bo Bichette 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
Cavan Biggio 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
George Springer 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +120 0.5 -165

Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Manoah 5.5 -110 5.5 -130
Dean Kremer 3.5 -125 3.5 -110
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 95 games (+29.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 95 games (+27.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 77 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 53 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 92 games (+10.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 72 games (+23.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.70 Units / 19% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 75-40 against the Run Line (+27.3 Units / 17.97% ROI).

  • 60-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +23.7 Units / 19.51% ROI
  • 55-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -3.26% ROI
  • 55-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -4.33% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 48-66 against the Run Line (-22.75 Units / -16.54% ROI).

  • 61-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.6 Units / -11.75% ROI
  • 59-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -0.52% ROI
  • 54-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -9.37% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (65/197) against Dean Kremer this season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.

Dean Kremer has not walked any of the 25 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Dean Kremer has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (237/505) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .307 (39-for-127) against Dean Kremer on the road this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .248 — fifth Percentile.

Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .167 (40-for-239) against Alek Manoah this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .220 (259 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .162 (71-for-438) against Alek Manoah since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed a BABIP of .216 against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are 43-1 (.977) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .887.

The Orioles are 46-2 (.958) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Orioles are 33-21 (.611) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Orioles are just 26-113 (.187) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are 52-3 (.945) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Blue Jays are just 2-43 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Blue Jays are just 8-11 (.421) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 48-2 (.960) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .887.

Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles hitters have 340 strikeouts in 1,371 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .663 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.

Blue Jays hitters have 4 extra-base hits out of 6 total hits (67%) against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Blue Jays hitters have 2 strikeouts in 3 PA’s (67%) against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.84 (1118.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 37% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 778 of 10,168 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 305 of 4,252 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Thomas Stripling (Blue Jays): Glute/Hip, D15
  • Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.