- The Blue Jays (61-54) are -165 favorites vs the Orioles (61-55)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Austin Voth (3-1), 5.34 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (5-3), 3.15 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Baltimore Orioles (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-165) on Wednesday, August 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 61-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 48-67 ATS.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -115 | +140 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -105 | -165 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 37 games (+13.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ryan McKenna has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+12.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 42 of his last 71 games (+11.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 45 games (+11.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 58 games (+10.25 Units / 14% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ross Stripling | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +120 |
| Austin Voth | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 96 games (+30.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 96 games (+29.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games (+12.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 78 games (+10.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 93 games (+9.10 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 73 games (+22.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games (+13.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 76-40 against the Run Line (+28.3 Units / 18.48% ROI).
- 61-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +25.5 Units / 20.82% ROI
- 55-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -4.18% ROI
- 56-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -3.52% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 48-67 against the Run Line (-23.8 Units / -17.17% ROI).
- 61-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.8 Units / -12.75% ROI
- 59-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -1.47% ROI
- 55-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -8.51% ROI
Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .216 (60-for-278) against Austin Voth with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .156 — second Percentile.
Austin Voth has allowed an OPS of .944 (151 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .629 — first Percentile.
Austin Voth has allowed an OBP of .475 (80 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 0 Percentile.
Austin Voth has allowed a slugging percentage of .559 (76 Total Bases / 136 ABs) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .341 — first Percentile.
Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Ross Stripling this season is 377.7 feet — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 398.2
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (85/442) against Ross Stripling on breaking pitches since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 32% — second Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of just .354 (52 Total Bases / 147 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .544 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 98 of Ross Stripling’s 486 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 19-4 (.826) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .665.
The Orioles are 28-6 (.824) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Orioles are just 11-25 (.306) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 27-76 (.262) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 50-14 (.781) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Blue Jays are just 8-11 (.421) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 52-3 (.945) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Blue Jays are 48-2 (.960) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Orioles hitters have 340 strikeouts in 1,371 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles are batting just .156 with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Orioles hitters have a swing rate of 50% against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Blue Jays hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 18% against LHP over the last 14 days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 152 strikeouts in 826 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .195 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.81 (1127.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.95 (1219.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 783 of 10,208 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 37% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Blue Jays pitchers over the past seven days (5 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
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