Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 17

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 17, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Blue Jays (61-54) are -165 favorites vs the Orioles (61-55)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Austin Voth (3-1), 5.34 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (5-3), 3.15 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Baltimore Orioles (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-165) on Wednesday, August 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 61-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 48-67 ATS.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -140O 8.5 -115+140
Blue Jays -1.5 +115U 8.5 -105-165

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 37 games (+13.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ryan McKenna has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+12.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.45 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 42 of his last 71 games (+11.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 45 games (+11.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 58 games (+10.25 Units / 14% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Bo Bichette 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Danny Jansen 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Matt Chapman 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Bo Bichette 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Danny Jansen 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Matt Chapman 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Bo Bichette 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Danny Jansen 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Matt Chapman 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ross Stripling 3.5 -165 3.5 +120
Austin Voth 4.5 +115 4.5 -160
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 96 games (+30.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 96 games (+29.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games (+12.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 78 games (+10.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 93 games (+9.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 73 games (+22.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games (+13.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 76-40 against the Run Line (+28.3 Units / 18.48% ROI).

  • 61-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +25.5 Units / 20.82% ROI
  • 55-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -4.18% ROI
  • 56-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -3.52% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 48-67 against the Run Line (-23.8 Units / -17.17% ROI).

  • 61-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.8 Units / -12.75% ROI
  • 59-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -1.47% ROI
  • 55-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -8.51% ROI

Opponents are hitting .216 (60-for-278) against Austin Voth with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .156 — second Percentile.

Austin Voth has allowed an OPS of .944 (151 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .629 — first Percentile.

Austin Voth has allowed an OBP of .475 (80 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 0 Percentile.

Austin Voth has allowed a slugging percentage of .559 (76 Total Bases / 136 ABs) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .341 — first Percentile.

Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The average home run distance against Ross Stripling this season is 377.7 feet — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 398.2

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (85/442) against Ross Stripling on breaking pitches since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 32% — second Percentile.

Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of just .354 (52 Total Bases / 147 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .544 — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 98 of Ross Stripling’s 486 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are 19-4 (.826) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .665.

The Orioles are 28-6 (.824) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Orioles are just 11-25 (.306) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 27-76 (.262) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are 50-14 (.781) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Blue Jays are just 8-11 (.421) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 52-3 (.945) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Blue Jays are 48-2 (.960) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Orioles hitters have 340 strikeouts in 1,371 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Orioles are batting just .156 with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.

Orioles hitters have a swing rate of 50% against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Blue Jays hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 18% against LHP over the last 14 days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Blue Jays hitters have just 152 strikeouts in 826 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Blue Jays are batting .195 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .170.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.81 (1127.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.95 (1219.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 783 of 10,208 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 37% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Blue Jays pitchers over the past seven days (5 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.