- The Blue Jays are -125 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-125) on Wednesday, August 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 66-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 51-57 ATS.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -110 | +105 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -110 | -125 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 57.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+8.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 49 games (+15.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 12 games (+12.70 Units / 71% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.95 Units / 40% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
| Grayson Rodriguez | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 104 games (+25.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 54 away games (+22.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.69 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 54 away games (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 54 away games (+6.20 Units / 10% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 83 games (+16.49 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+14.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+6.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.40 Units / 36% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 65-42 against the Run Line (+20.45 Units / 14.65% ROI).
- 66-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +24.7 Units / 18.66% ROI
- 54-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 4.28% ROI
- 45-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -12.28% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 51-57 against the Run Line (-8.6 Units / -6.37% ROI).
- 59-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -5.82% ROI
- 45-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.2 Units / -15.38% ROI
- 58-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.35 Units / 6.99% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 13% (17/128) against Eduardo Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .160 (4-for-25) against Grayson Rodriguez — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .240 — 95th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of just .412 (43 PA’s) — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .703 — 96th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of .583 (42 Total Bases / 72 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .383 — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
11 of Yusei Kikuchi’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 8th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 89th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (106 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
67% of Yusei Kikuchi’s called strikeouts are low this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 91st Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a first-pitch strike rate of just 59% (270/460) this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 11th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 49-39 (.557) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Orioles are 64-31 (.674) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Orioles are 33-25 (.569) after a road loss since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Orioles are 48-13 (.787) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .643.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 15-10 (.600) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Blue Jays are 60-86 (.411) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .287.
The Blue Jays are 26-35 (.426) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Blue Jays are 9-4 (.692) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting .395 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Orioles are 163-103 (.608) against the run line (13.4% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are 74-43 (.622) against the run line (17.6% ROI) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Orioles on 49% of their plate appearances this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.. *
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 412 strikeouts in 2,112 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Blue Jays are batting .368 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .181 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 764 of 10,172 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Blue Jays have allowed 3.73 runs per game (194/52) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.60.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Knee , Day-to-Day
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Jordan Romano (Blue Jays): Back, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Quad, D10
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D15
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
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