- The Blue Jays are -130 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Baltimore Orioles (+110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-130) on Monday, July 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 64-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 51-55 ATS.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -105 | +110 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -115 | -130 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 66.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+9.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.15 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- George Springer has hit the Hits Under in his last 11 games (+13.65 Units / 68% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 47 games (+13.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 11 games (+11.70 Units / 73% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+10.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+10.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Kyle Gibson | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 102 games (+23.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 52 away games (+20.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 52 away games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 52 away games (+6.20 Units / 10% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+14.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+14.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.20 Units / 41% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 63-42 against the Run Line (+18.45 Units / 13.57% ROI).
- 64-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.5 Units / 17.26% ROI
- 53-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 4.36% ROI
- 44-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.5 Units / -12.44% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 51-55 against the Run Line (-6.6 Units / -4.96% ROI).
- 59-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -4.25% ROI
- 44-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.2 Units / -15.66% ROI
- 57-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.45 Units / 7.21% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson allowed a batting average of just .145 vs right-handed batters (tied for third best)– 97th Percentile and .327 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (ninth worst among qualified SPs)– 12th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 60% (316/524) in two strike counts this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents batted .364 (47-for-129) against Kyle Gibson with runners in scoring position in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .200 (45-for-225) against Kyle Gibson with two-strikes this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .168 — 10th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has allowed a just .290 SLG vs right-handed batters (best)– 100th Percentile and .538 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– third Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .204 (52-for-255) against Chris Bassitt this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 93rd Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of .495 (52 Total Bases / 105 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — third Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OPS of just .554 (277 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .697 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 49-39 (.557) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Orioles are 108-6 (.947) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Orioles are 63-41 (.606) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 26-15 (.634) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 15-9 (.625) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are 9-3 (.750) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Blue Jays are 26-33 (.441) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Blue Jays are 6-32 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .445 (138 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Orioles are 162-103 (.609) against the run line (12.7% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are 37-14 (.725) against the run line (32.8% ROI) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Orioles are 85-47 (.644) against the run line (15.4% ROI) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .378 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Blue Jays are batting .389 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Blue Jays hitters have just 408 strikeouts in 2,105 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .262 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.25 (459.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 167 of 2,405 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.76 (946.2 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Jordan Romano (Blue Jays): Back, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Quad, D10
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D15
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Orioles vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
