Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 13

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(AP Photo)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 13, 2022, 3:30 PM

The Blue Jays (35-24) are -275 favorites vs the Orioles (26-35)
Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish (1-3), 6.45 ERA
Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (7-1), 1.80 ERA
Watch the game on SN1

The Baltimore Orioles (+220) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-275) on Monday, June 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).

The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 26-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 27-32 ATS.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

	Spread	Over / Under	Moneyline
Orioles	+2.5 -130	O 8.5 -105	+220
Blue Jays	-2.5 +105	U 8.5 -115	-275

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.30 Units / 73% ROI)

Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)

Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 37 games (+7.25 Units / 18% ROI)

Trey Mancini has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 52% ROI)

Trey Mancini has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 47% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)

Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 games at home (+11.40 Units / 71% ROI)

Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 36 games (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+8.95 Units / 27% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

	Over	Under
Alejandro Kirk	0.5 475	0.5 -1000
Bo Bichette	0.5 400	0.5 -700
George Springer	0.5 290	0.5 -500
Lourdes Gurriel	0.5 475	0.5 -1000
Matt Chapman	0.5 375	0.5 -650

Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

	Over	Under
Alejandro Kirk	0.5 -250	0.5 170
Bo Bichette	1.5 145	1.5 -200
George Springer	0.5 -275	0.5 180
Lourdes Gurriel	0.5 -200	0.5 145
Matt Chapman	0.5 -155	0.5 105

Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

	Over	Under
Alejandro Kirk	0.5 140	0.5 -200
Bo Bichette	0.5 135	0.5 -200
George Springer	0.5 135	0.5 -190
Lourdes Gurriel	0.5 160	0.5 -250
Matt Chapman	0.5 155	0.5 -225

Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

	Over	Under
Alek Manoah	5.5 -160	5.5 110
Kyle Bradish	4.5 110	4.5 -155

Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+13.15 Units / 32% ROI)

The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.55 Units / 38% ROI)

The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)

The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 41 games (+5.95 Units / 14% ROI)

The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 40% ROI)

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+4.65 Units / 16% ROI)

The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+4.55 Units / 16% ROI)

The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.25 Units / 16% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 36-25 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 6.87% ROI).

26-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 2.79% ROI
27-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -9.68% ROI
31-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 2.14% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 27-32 against the Run Line (-7.3 Units / -10.08% ROI).

35-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.49% ROI
27-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.65 Units / -11.74% ROI
31-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1.54% ROI

Kyle Bradish: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Bradish has allowed at least one HR in each of his last eight games dating back to April 29th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Kyle Bradish had a strike rate of just 57% (60/105) — 6th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has allowed an OPS of .918 (167 PA’s) this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .699 — fourth Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.3 MPH (108 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 88.7 — first Percentile.

Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .128 (16-for-125) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .159 (132 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .375 (132 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of just .216 (27 Total Bases / 125 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 98th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are just 8-22 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 6-32 (.158) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Orioles are just 7-29 (.194) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Orioles are just 11-20 (.355) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are 30-1 (.968) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .927.

The Blue Jays are 3-15 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Blue Jays are 30-8 (.789) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Blue Jays are 17-14 (.548) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .482.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

The Orioles have won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Orioles have won just 50% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .679 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Blue Jays are batting .476 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.

Blue Jays hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 61% against LHP over the last 14 days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Blue Jays are batting .263 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 59 double plays in 432 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 12% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 148 of 2,164 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 4 of 106 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 32 of 523 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.