- The Blue Jays (35-24) are -275 favorites vs the Orioles (26-35)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish (1-3), 6.45 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (7-1), 1.80 ERA
- Watch the game on SN1
The Baltimore Orioles (+220) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-275) on Monday, June 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 26-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 27-32 ATS.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +2.5 -130 | O 8.5 -105 | +220 |
| Blue Jays | -2.5 +105 | U 8.5 -115 | -275 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.30 Units / 73% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 37 games (+7.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 47% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 games at home (+11.40 Units / 71% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 36 games (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+8.95 Units / 27% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 400 | 0.5 -700 |
| George Springer | 0.5 290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 375 | 0.5 -650 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 170 |
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 145 | 1.5 -200 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 180 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 145 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 105 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 135 | 0.5 -200 |
| George Springer | 0.5 135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 155 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 110 |
| Kyle Bradish | 4.5 110 | 4.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+13.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 41 games (+5.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+4.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+4.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.25 Units / 16% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 36-25 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 6.87% ROI).
- 26-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 2.79% ROI
- 27-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -9.68% ROI
- 31-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 2.14% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 27-32 against the Run Line (-7.3 Units / -10.08% ROI).
- 35-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.49% ROI
- 27-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.65 Units / -11.74% ROI
- 31-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1.54% ROI
Kyle Bradish: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has allowed at least one HR in each of his last eight games dating back to April 29th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Kyle Bradish had a strike rate of just 57% (60/105) — 6th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed an OPS of .918 (167 PA’s) this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .699 — fourth Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.3 MPH (108 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 88.7 — first Percentile.
Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .128 (16-for-125) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .159 (132 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .375 (132 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of just .216 (27 Total Bases / 125 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are just 8-22 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 6-32 (.158) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Orioles are just 7-29 (.194) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Orioles are just 11-20 (.355) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 30-1 (.968) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .927.
The Blue Jays are 3-15 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Blue Jays are 30-8 (.789) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Blue Jays are 17-14 (.548) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Orioles have won just 50% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .679 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Blue Jays are batting .476 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Blue Jays hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 61% against LHP over the last 14 days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 59 double plays in 432 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 12% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 148 of 2,164 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 4 of 106 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 32 of 523 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- Matt Chapman (Blue Jays): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Ramón Urías (Orioles): Left Oblique, D10
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
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