Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 15, 2022, 10:50 AM
  • The Blue Jays (36-25) are -300 favorites vs the Orioles (27-36)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Bruce Zimmermann (2-5), 5.51 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (5-2), 4.73 ERA
  • Watch the game on SN1

The Baltimore Orioles (+230) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-300) on Wednesday, June 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 27-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 28-33 ATS.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+2.5 -115O 9.5 -115+230
Blue Jays -2.5 -105U 9.5 -105-300

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+6.30 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+3.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+11.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games at home (+11.75 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 38 games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
    Bo Bichette 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
    Gabriel Moreno 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
    George Springer 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
    Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

    Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alejandro Kirk 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
    Bo Bichette 1.5 +125 1.5 -185
    Gabriel Moreno 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
    George Springer 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
    Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

    Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
    Bo Bichette 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
    Gabriel Moreno 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
    George Springer 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
    Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +150 0.5 -225

    Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Jose Berrios 5.5 -140 5.5 +100
    Bruce Zimmermann 3.5 +125 3.5 -175
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+15.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 43 games (+6.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+0.65 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+4.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+3.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 37-26 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 6.69% ROI).

    • 27-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 4.17% ROI
    • 29-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -6.46% ROI
    • 31-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -1% ROI

    Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 28-33 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -9.94% ROI).

    • 36-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -1.84% ROI
    • 29-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -8.38% ROI
    • 31-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -1.71% ROI

    Bruce Zimmermann has allowed a slugging percentage of .496 (59 Total Bases / 119 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — first Percentile.

    Bruce Zimmermann has allowed a slugging percentage of .577 (143 Total Bases / 248 ABs) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — first Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .429 (21-for-49) against Bruce Zimmermann when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — first Percentile.

    Bruce Zimmermann has allowed an OPS of .914 (265 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — first Percentile.

    José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .635 (33 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — fourth Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (35/128) against Jose Berrios in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

    Opponents are hitless in 27 AB’s against Jose Berrios with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .165 — 100th Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a Well-Hit Avg of .339 (40/118) against Jose Berrios this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .190 — first Percentile.

    Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

    The Orioles are 13-3 (.812) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

    The Orioles are just 8-22 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Orioles are just 21-136 (.134) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

    The Orioles are just 55-86 (.390) at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

    Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

    The Blue Jays are 17-14 (.548) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.

    The Blue Jays are 19-11 (.633) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

    The Blue Jays are 3-16 (.158) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

    The Blue Jays are 28-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

    The Orioles have won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

    The Orioles have won just 50% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

    Orioles hitters have 201 strikeouts in 788 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    The Blue Jays are batting .265 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.

    Blue Jays hitters are slugging .684 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

    Blue Jays hitters are slugging .454 against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

    The Blue Jays are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.

    Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

    Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 29% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

    Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.24 (922.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

    Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    Blue Jays pitchers have walked 154 of 2,239 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

    The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Ramón Urías (Orioles): Left Oblique, D10
  • Joseph Mancini (Orioles): Right Hand, Day-to-Day
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.