Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 16, 2022, 11:05 AM
  • The Blue Jays (37-25) are -275 favorites vs the Orioles (27-37)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells (3-4), 3.85 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (5-5), 2.67 ERA
  • Watch the game on SNET

The Baltimore Orioles (+220) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-275) on Thursday, June 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 27-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 28-34 ATS.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 +105O 8.5 -115+220
Blue Jays -1.5 -125U 8.5 -105-275

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s matchup with 56.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.55 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+8.05 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 19 games at home (+10.75 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 39 games (+9.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 26 games at home (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+7.40 Units / 123% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Bo Bichette 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Cavan Biggio 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
George Springer 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Bo Bichette 1.5 +145 1.5 -200
Cavan Biggio 0.5 -145 0.5 +105
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Matt Chapman 0.5 -185 0.5 +130

Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Bo Bichette 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Cavan Biggio 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
George Springer 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +155 0.5 -225

Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gausman 6.5 +105 6.5 -150
Tyler Wells 3.5 +115 3.5 -160
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 41 games (+16.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+8.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 44 games (+5.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+5.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+1.60 Units / 7% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 38-26 against the Run Line (+6.7 Units / 8.2% ROI).

  • 27-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 2.59% ROI
  • 30-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -4.94% ROI
  • 31-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -2.67% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 28-34 against the Run Line (-8.95 Units / -11.71% ROI).

  • 37-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -0.79% ROI
  • 30-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -6.8% ROI
  • 31-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -3.44% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .170 (9-for-53) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .333 — 98th Percentile.

Tyler Wells has allowed a slugging percentage of .605 (49 Total Bases / 81 ABs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .382 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .333 (27-for-81) against Tyler Wells with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .235 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (40/138) against Tyler Wells in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 46% — fifth Percentile.

Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman has a strike rate of 72% (347/484) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 44% (106/241) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has walked 3 of 131 left-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 43% (134/313) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Orioles are just 8-22 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 20-1 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .926.

The Orioles are just 21-70 (.231) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are 29-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Blue Jays are 3-16 (.158) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Blue Jays are 2-18 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

The Blue Jays are 17-14 (.548) on the road this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Orioles have won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 35% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Orioles hitters have 201 strikeouts in 789 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Blue Jays are batting .267 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .825 (441 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .466 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .361 (441 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 29% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Orioles pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 61 double plays in 449 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 627 of 8,192 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 154 of 2,276 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 35 of 551 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 11 of 206 batters (5%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Ramón Urías (Orioles): Left Oblique, D10
  • Joseph Mancini (Orioles): Hang, Day-to-Day
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.