- The Blue Jays (37-25) are -275 favorites vs the Orioles (27-37)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells (3-4), 3.85 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (5-5), 2.67 ERA
- Watch the game on SNET
The Baltimore Orioles (+220) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-275) on Thursday, June 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 27-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 28-34 ATS.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -115 | +220 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -125 | U 8.5 -105 | -275 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s matchup with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+8.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 19 games at home (+10.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 39 games (+9.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 26 games at home (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+7.40 Units / 123% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -200 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -150 |
| Tyler Wells | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 41 games (+16.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+8.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 44 games (+5.90 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+5.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+1.60 Units / 7% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 38-26 against the Run Line (+6.7 Units / 8.2% ROI).
- 27-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 2.59% ROI
- 30-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -4.94% ROI
- 31-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -2.67% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 28-34 against the Run Line (-8.95 Units / -11.71% ROI).
- 37-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -0.79% ROI
- 30-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -6.8% ROI
- 31-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -3.44% ROI
Tyler Wells: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .170 (9-for-53) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .333 — 98th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed a slugging percentage of .605 (49 Total Bases / 81 ABs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .382 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (27-for-81) against Tyler Wells with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .235 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (40/138) against Tyler Wells in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 46% — fifth Percentile.
Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has a strike rate of 72% (347/484) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 44% (106/241) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has walked 3 of 131 left-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 43% (134/313) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Orioles are just 8-22 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 20-1 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Orioles are just 21-70 (.231) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 29-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Blue Jays are 3-16 (.158) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays are 2-18 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Blue Jays are 17-14 (.548) on the road this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 35% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles hitters have 201 strikeouts in 789 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .267 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .825 (441 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .466 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .361 (441 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 29% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Orioles pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 61 double plays in 449 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 627 of 8,192 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 154 of 2,276 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 35 of 551 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 11 of 206 batters (5%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Ramón Urías (Orioles): Left Oblique, D10
- Joseph Mancini (Orioles): Hang, Day-to-Day
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
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