Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 5

Toronto Blue Jays' Alejandro Kirk bats during a baseball game against the Tampa Bay Rays Saturday, Sept. 21, 2024, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Steve Nesius)
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  • The Blue Jays are -150 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Orioles vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Orioles / Blue Jays TV Channel: MASN | RSN1

The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-150) on June 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Orioles are 30-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 31-31 ATS.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 3-1, 3.38 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Trey Yesavage 2-2, 2.19 ERA

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -160O 8 -105+125
Blue Jays -1.5 +135U 8 -115-150

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.95 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Samuel Basallo has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Samuel Basallo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Samuel Basallo has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Brandon Valenzuela has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+10.62 Units / 118% ROI)
  • Nathan Lukes has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Yohendrick Pinango has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+6.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+6.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+3.65 Units / 5% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 30-33 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -4.7% ROI).

  • 30-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -9.32% ROI
  • 35-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 8.91% ROI
  • 26-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.45 Units / -18.02% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 31-31 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -2.59% ROI).

  • 30-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -12.06% ROI
  • 30-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -4.12% ROI
  • 30-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -4.18% ROI

Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Alonso +333
George Springer +333
Daulton Varsho +350
Kazuma Okamoto +350
Gunnar Henderson +375

Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nathan Lukes 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Ernie Clement 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Pete Alonso 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Holliday 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
George Springer 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Brandon Valenzuela 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are just 6-27 (.182) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Orioles are 9-2 (.818) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .648.

The Orioles are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 16-63 (.203) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are just 3-22 (.120) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Blue Jays are 5-26 (.161) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .107.

The Blue Jays are 17-79 (.177) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Blue Jays are 20-76 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .129.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .453 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .154 with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .177 on pitches out of the zone this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .464 (1,271 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .191 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.68 (247.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 645 times this season — 5th most in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.83 runs per game (169/29) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .261 against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH this season (1,499 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,499 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 555 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% versus the bottom of the order this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.