- The Blue Jays are -160 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Baltimore Orioles (+135) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-160) on Friday, May 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 28-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 23-21 ATS.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -145 | O 9.5 -115 | +135 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +120 | U 9.5 -105 | -160 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+9.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+9.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 45 games (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 41% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Kyle Gibson | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games (+10.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 away games (+5.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+6.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+5.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+3.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 27-17 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 16.76% ROI).
- 28-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 16.64% ROI
- 22-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 3% ROI
- 19-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -10.07% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 23-21 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI).
- 25-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -1.23% ROI
- 20-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -8.06% ROI
- 22-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -0.71% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting .336 (36-for-107) against Kyle Gibson this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 — eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .171 against Kyle Gibson with RISP this season — ninth best among qualified SPs– 87th Percentile. Opponents batted .364 (47-for-129) against him with RISP last season — worst among qualified SPs– second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .426 (23-for-54) against Kyle Gibson when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .296 (8-for-27) against Kyle Gibson’s elevated fastball this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 11th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .845 (60 Total Bases / 71 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .555 — first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (79 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .768 (179 Total Bases / 233 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: .555 — 0 Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .512 (85 Total Bases / 166 ABs) this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .397 — sixth Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Orioles are 9-10 (.474) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Orioles are 13-8 (.619) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Orioles are 28-16 (.636) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 3-16 (.158) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Blue Jays are 44-64 (.407) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Blue Jays are 27-12 (.692) after a home loss since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Blue Jays are 100-24 (.806) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 62% on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .345 (847 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
12% of Orioles’ plate appearances have been three-ball counts (644/5,442 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .452 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have just 316 strikeouts in 1,623 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Blue Jays hitters have just 66 strikeouts in 370 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .135 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 55% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 28 of 396 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 16 of 109 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 571 of 7,746 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 123 of 1,847 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Rhomboid, D15
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Ramón UrÃas (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
Bet now on Orioles vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
