- The Blue Jays are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
- Watch the game on SNET
The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-135) on Saturday, May 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 29-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 23-22 ATS.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -165 | O 9.5 -120 | +115 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +135 | U 9.5 +100 | -135 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 66.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+11.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+9.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+8.15 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+13.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+11.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+9.95 Units / 83% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 41% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Grayson Rodriguez | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.25 Units / 92% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 41 games (+4.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+2.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 28-17 against the Run Line (+10.05 Units / 18.12% ROI).
- 29-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.35 Units / 18.58% ROI
- 22-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 0.91% ROI
- 20-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -7.82% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 23-22 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.8% ROI).
- 25-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -3.53% ROI
- 20-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -9.95% ROI
- 23-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 1.29% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 45% (19/42) against Grayson Rodriguez on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .533 (8-for-15) against Grayson Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .357 — sixth Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (25 Total Bases / 35 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .416 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .371 (13-for-35) against Grayson Rodriguez when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .248 — fourth Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah has walked 32 of 214 batters (15%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Alek Manoah has walked 32 of 214 batters (15%) this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of .357 (112 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .286 against Alek Manoah vs right-handed batters this season — tied for 10th worst among qualified SPs– 13th Percentile. Right handed batters hit just .159 (51-for-321) against him last season — best among qualified SPs– 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 9-10 (.474) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Orioles are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Orioles are 14-8 (.636) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Orioles are 81-4 (.953) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .876.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 3-17 (.150) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Blue Jays are 44-65 (.404) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Blue Jays are 10-4 (.714) after a home win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .542.
The Blue Jays are 13-13 (.500) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting .397 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .344 (885 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Orioles are 127-79 (.614) against the run line (13.4% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Orioles hitters are slugging .433 on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Blue Jays are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Blue Jays hitters have 24 extra-base hits out of 89 total hits (just 27%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .329 (6,313 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 28 of 405 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .151 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Orioles have won 52% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Rhomboid, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Ramón UrÃas (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
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