- The Blue Jays are -185 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Watch the game on SNET
The Baltimore Orioles (+150) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-185) on Sunday, May 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 30-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 23-23 ATS.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -120 | O 8.5 +100 | +150 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -120 | -185 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+14.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+11.45 Units / 88% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+10.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+9.65 Units / 46% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
| Dean Kremer | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
| Dean Kremer | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 33 games (+12.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 away games (+5.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 63% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 42 games (+3.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 27 games (+2.25 Units / 6% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 29-17 against the Run Line (+11.05 Units / 19.37% ROI).
- 30-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.5 Units / 20.13% ROI
- 23-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 2.88% ROI
- 20-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -9.99% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 23-23 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -2.54% ROI).
- 25-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -5.45% ROI
- 21-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -7.74% ROI
- 23-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -1.07% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
keys to the game – away
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 3-17 (.150) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Blue Jays are 85-7 (.924) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Blue Jays are 42-31 (.575) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Blue Jays are 13-13 (.500) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Blue Jays hitters have just 316 strikeouts in 1,625 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 66 strikeouts in 372 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .183 with two-strikes since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 55% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 28 of 415 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 15 of 110 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 124 of 1,866 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Rhomboid, D15
- Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Ramón UrÃas (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
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